Fleury 91 vs Aubagne: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 24Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Stade Robert Bobin, Bondoufle
The Footlab model makes Fleury 91 the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Aubagne. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fleury 91 vs Aubagne?
Fleury 91 starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,841 vs 1,705).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fleury 91 have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Aubagne have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Orleans(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cannes(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Amiens(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Boulogne(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 15, 2026 | Rouen(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Caen(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bastia(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Thionville Lusitanos(home) | 0-3 | Ligue 3 |
| May 15, 2026 | Caen(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Gobelins(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Fleury 91 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Aubagne win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | Aubagne 1-2 Fleury 91 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Fleury 91 0-2 Aubagne | Ligue 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Fleury 91 score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Aubagne score 0.8 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fleury 91 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Aubagne | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fleury 91 sit 15th in Ligue 3 (2 points from 3 matches) and Aubagne sit 18th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Fleury 91 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| 18 | Aubagne | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fleury 91 vs Aubagne?
- The Footlab model makes Fleury 91 the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Aubagne.
- Where and when is Fleury 91 vs Aubagne played?
- Fleury 91 vs Aubagne is played on March 13, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Robert Bobin, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.