Fleury 91 vs Aubagne: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 24Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Stade Robert Bobin, Bondoufle
The Footlab AI model makes Fleury 91 the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Aubagne. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fleury 91 wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,382 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fleury 91 vs Aubagne?
Fleury 91 starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,843 vs 1,721).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fleury 91 vs Aubagne
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fleury 91
4-2-3-1- 17V. Lavigne
- 7Y. Verdier
- 18C. Cisse
- 19K. Faradé
- 28N. Homssa
- 8R. Lelevé
- 2F. Colombo
- 26H. Karamoko
- 25M. Jean-Pierre
- 6G. Lefebvre
- 40Gael Alette
Aubagne
4-1-4-1- 17J. Porsan-Clemente
- 18A. Oudjani
- 10K. Cissé
- 27J. Sahraoui
- 24S. Ahamada
- 22Walid Bouaziz
- 26M. Nehari
- 23Y. Aradj
- 5R. Doucouré
- 4R. Valme
- 16T. Moreira
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 07:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fleury 91 have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Aubagne have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Caen(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Aubagne(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Thionville Lusitanos(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Valenciennes(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Villefranche(home) | 6-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | La Roche VF(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Fleury 91(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rouen(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Concarneau(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Gobelins(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Fleury 91 win, 0 draws, 2 Aubagne wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Fleury 91 1-2 Aubagne | Ligue 3 |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Aubagne 1-2 Fleury 91 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Fleury 91 0-2 Aubagne | Ligue 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Fleury 91 score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Aubagne score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fleury 91 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Aubagne | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fleury 91 sit 10th in Ligue 3 (12 points from 9 matches) and Aubagne sit 16th (7 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Fleury 91 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 12 |
| 16 | Aubagne | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 7 |
A question about Fleury 91 vs Aubagne?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fleury 91 vs Aubagne?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fleury 91 the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Aubagne.
- Where and when is Fleury 91 vs Aubagne played?
- Fleury 91 vs Aubagne is played on March 13, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Robert Bobin, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.