Aubagne vs La Roche VF: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 25Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Stade de Lattre de Tassigny, Aubagne
The Footlab AI model makes La Roche VF the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Aubagne. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,466 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aubagne vs La Roche VF?
La Roche VF starts as the favourite with a 221-point Elo edge (1,983 vs 1,762).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aubagne vs La Roche VF
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aubagne
4-1-4-1- 17J. Porsan-Clemente
- 18A. Oudjani
- 10K. Cissé
- 27J. Sahraoui
- 24S. Ahamada
- 22Walid Bouaziz
- 26M. Nehari
- 23Y. Aradj
- 5R. Doucouré
- 4R. Valme
- 16T. Moreira
La Roche VF
4-2-3-1- 9M. M. Samb
- 10M. Ndiaye
- 26J. Beaulieu
- 2M. Mahop
- 20Alexis Araújo
- 8K. Bensoula
- 18M. Rabuel
- 29G. Violleau
- 5T. Allemand
- 27H. Lamy
- 1I. Ahamada
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aubagne have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; La Roche VF have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | La Roche VF(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Fleury 91(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rouen(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Concarneau(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Gobelins(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Caen(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Aubagne(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Thionville Lusitanos(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Valenciennes(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Villefranche(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Aubagne wins, 0 draws, 1 La Roche VF win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | La Roche VF 3-1 Aubagne | Ligue 3 |
Last archived meeting: La Roche VF vs Aubagne on Oct 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aubagne score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; La Roche VF score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aubagne | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| La Roche VF | 1.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aubagne sit 16th in Ligue 3 (7 points from 9 matches) and La Roche VF sit 1st (21 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Roche VF | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 10 | 21 |
| 16 | Aubagne | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 7 |
A question about Aubagne vs La Roche VF?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aubagne vs La Roche VF?
- The Footlab AI model makes La Roche VF the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Aubagne.
- Where and when is Aubagne vs La Roche VF played?
- Aubagne vs La Roche VF is played on March 20, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Stade de Lattre de Tassigny, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.