Fleury 91 vs Thionville Lusitanos: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 7Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stade Robert Bobin, Bondoufle
The Footlab model makes Fleury 91 the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Thionville Lusitanos. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fleury 91 vs Thionville Lusitanos?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Fleury 91 (1,839) and Thionville Lusitanos (1,820).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fleury 91 have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Thionville Lusitanos have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Orleans(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cannes(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Amiens(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Boulogne(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 15, 2026 | Rouen(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Bourg-en-bresse 01(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Caen(home) | 4-3 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Aubagne(away) | 3-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Nancy(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Chambly Thelle FC(home) | 0-4 | National 2 - Group B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Fleury 91 win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Thionville Lusitanos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | Thionville Lusitanos 0-3 Fleury 91 | National 2 - Group C |
| Nov 8, 2024 | Fleury 91 2-1 Thionville Lusitanos | National 2 - Group C |
Last archived meeting: Thionville Lusitanos vs Fleury 91 on Apr 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Fleury 91 score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Thionville Lusitanos score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fleury 91 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Thionville Lusitanos | 1.9 | 1.6 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fleury 91 sit 15th in Ligue 3 (2 points from 3 matches) and Thionville Lusitanos sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thionville Lusitanos | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 15 | Fleury 91 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fleury 91 vs Thionville Lusitanos?
- The Footlab model makes Fleury 91 the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Thionville Lusitanos.
- Where and when is Fleury 91 vs Thionville Lusitanos played?
- Fleury 91 vs Thionville Lusitanos is played on September 19, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Robert Bobin, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.