Flora Tallinn vs FC Levadia Tallinn: prediction and stats
MeistriliigaRegular Season - 31Kick-off on October 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
The Footlab model makes FC Levadia Tallinn the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Flora Tallinn. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Flora Tallinn vs FC Levadia Tallinn?
FC Levadia Tallinn starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (1,840 vs 1,715).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Flora Tallinn have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; FC Levadia Tallinn have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Tammeka(away) | 1-3 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vaprus(away) | 2-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kuressaare(home) | 2-3 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Inter Club d'Escaldes(home) | 0-4 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Inter Club d'Escaldes(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Paide(home) | 4-1 | Cup |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Trans Narva(home) | 4-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Laagri(away) | 2-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nõmme United(home) | 5-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Vaprus(away) | 1-1 | Meistriliiga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Flora Tallinn win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 FC Levadia Tallinn win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2026 | FC Levadia Tallinn 1-2 Flora Tallinn | Meistriliiga |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Flora Tallinn 1-3 FC Levadia Tallinn | Meistriliiga |
| Apr 19, 2026 | FC Levadia Tallinn 4-0 Flora Tallinn | Meistriliiga |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Flora Tallinn 1-0 FC Levadia Tallinn | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Flora Tallinn 3-1 FC Levadia Tallinn | Cup |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Flora Tallinn 2-3 FC Levadia Tallinn | Meistriliiga |
Last archived meeting: FC Levadia Tallinn vs Flora Tallinn on Jun 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Flora Tallinn score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; FC Levadia Tallinn score 2.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flora Tallinn | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| FC Levadia Tallinn | 2.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Flora Tallinn sit 3rd in Meistriliiga (42 points from 22 matches) and FC Levadia Tallinn sit 1st (56 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 61 | 18 | 56 |
| 3 | Flora Tallinn | 22 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 44 | 25 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Flora Tallinn vs FC Levadia Tallinn?
- The Footlab model makes FC Levadia Tallinn the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Flora Tallinn.
- Where and when is Flora Tallinn vs FC Levadia Tallinn played?
- Flora Tallinn vs FC Levadia Tallinn is played on October 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at A. Le Coq Arena, in the Meistriliiga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.