Paide vs Tammeka: prediction and stats
MeistriliigaRegular Season - 31Kick-off on October 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Paide linnastaadion, Paide
The Footlab AI model makes Paide the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Tammeka. The most likely score is 1-1. If Paide wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paide vs Tammeka?
Paide starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,699 vs 1,584).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Paide vs Tammeka
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Paide
4-3-3- 77D. Luts
- 14M. Jobarteh
- 29D. Darboe
- 6Daniel Cabral
- 10M. Miller
- 28O. Hõim
- 3Victor Hugo dos Santos de Sá
- 2M. Lilander
- 4Pedro Andrade Drozina
- 27N. Baranov
- 12M. Meerits
Tammeka
4-2-3-1- 23P. Veelma
- 7Thomas Lisboa
- 99M. Hydara
- 10G. Uggeri
- 24H. Pedmanson
- 22T. Lang
- 3Pedro Manoel
- 17J. Amijekori
- 44O. Kangaslahti
- 27Laurits Õunpuu
- 26K. Lapa
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paide have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Tammeka have 10, 0 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | FC Levadia Tallinn(away) | 0-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Nõmme United(away) | 3-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Vaprus(home) | 2-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Laagri(home) | 1-2 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Tammeka(away) | 2-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Nõmme United(home) | 4-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Viimsi(home) | 4-1 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Kalju Nomme(home) | 1-3 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 17, 2026 | FC Levadia Tallinn(away) | 0-6 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Kuressaare(away) | 3-1 | Meistriliiga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Paide wins, 0 draws, 1 Tammeka win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2026 | Tammeka 0-2 Paide | Meistriliiga |
| May 1, 2026 | Paide 0-1 Tammeka | Meistriliiga |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Tammeka 1-4 Paide | Meistriliiga |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Paide 3-0 Tammeka | Cup |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Paide 5-0 Tammeka | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Tammeka 0-1 Paide | Meistriliiga |
How many goals should we expect?
Paide score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tammeka score 2.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paide | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Tammeka | 2.9 | 1.5 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paide sit 3rd in Meistriliiga (51 points from 30 matches) and Tammeka sit 5th (47 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Paide | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 51 |
| 5 | Tammeka | 30 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 41 | 47 | 47 |
A question about Paide vs Tammeka?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paide vs Tammeka?
- The Footlab AI model makes Paide the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Tammeka.
- Where and when is Paide vs Tammeka played?
- Paide vs Tammeka is played on October 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Paide linnastaadion, in the Meistriliiga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.