Florgrade vs Machico: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group BGroup B - 18Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo do Buçaquinho, Cortegaça
The Footlab AI model makes Florgrade the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Machico. The most likely score is 1-1. If Florgrade wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Florgrade vs Machico?
A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate Florgrade (1,923) and Machico (1,923).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Florgrade vs Machico
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Florgrade
Not enough data to predict the Florgrade lineup.
Machico
Not enough data to predict the Machico lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:24 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Florgrade have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Machico have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Machico(away) | 0-4 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Camacha(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sanjoanense(home) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Camacha(away) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 30, 2026 | São João Ver(home) | 0-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Florgrade(home) | 4-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Alpendorada(away) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Salgueiros(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Camacha(home) | 2-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Beira-Mar(away) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Florgrade wins, 0 draws, 1 Machico win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Machico 4-0 Florgrade | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
How many goals should we expect?
Florgrade score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Machico score 1.4 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florgrade | 1.0 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Machico | 1.4 | 0.7 | 9 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Florgrade sit 6th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B (7 points from 5 matches) and Machico sit 2nd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Machico | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Florgrade | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
A question about Florgrade vs Machico?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Florgrade vs Machico?
- The Footlab AI model makes Florgrade the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Machico.
- Where and when is Florgrade vs Machico played?
- Florgrade vs Machico is played on February 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo do Buçaquinho, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.