Floriana vs Gzira United: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Victor Tedesco Stadium, Hamrun
The Footlab model makes Floriana the favourite at 73%, against 18% for a draw and 9% for Gzira United. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Floriana vs Gzira United?
Floriana starts as the favourite with a 253-point Elo edge (1,718 vs 1,465).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Floriana have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Gzira United have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sliema Wanderers(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Birzebbuga(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Drita(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Drita(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Shamrock Rovers(away) | 1-5 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Valletta FC(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Birkirkara(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Marsaxlokk(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Valletta FC(away) | 1-2 | FA Trophy |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Floriana(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Floriana win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Gzira United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2026 | Gzira United 0-1 Floriana | Premier League |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Gzira United 1-2 Floriana | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Floriana 1-1 Gzira United | Premier League |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Gzira United 0-3 Floriana | Premier League |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Floriana 2-1 Gzira United | Premier League |
| May 7, 2024 | Floriana 2-2 Gzira United | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Gzira United vs Floriana on Apr 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Floriana score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gzira United score 1.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Floriana | 1.5 | 1.1 | 8 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Gzira United | 1.0 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Floriana sit 3rd in Premier League (6 points from 2 matches) and Gzira United sit 12th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Floriana | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Gzira United | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Floriana vs Gzira United?
- The Footlab model makes Floriana the favourite at 73%, against 18% for a draw and 9% for Gzira United.
- Where and when is Floriana vs Gzira United played?
- Floriana vs Gzira United is played on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Victor Tedesco Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.