Hibernians vs Valletta FC: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola
The Footlab model makes Valletta FC the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Hibernians. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hibernians vs Valletta FC?
Valletta FC starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,623 vs 1,487).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hibernians have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Valletta FC have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Marsaxlokk(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sliema Wanderers(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Zabbar St. Patrick(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Mosta(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Birkirkara(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gzira United(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zabbar St. Patrick(home) | 4-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(home) | 0-4 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| May 23, 2026 | Gzira United(home) | 2-1 | FA Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hibernians win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Valletta FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Hibernians 1-1 Valletta FC | Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Valletta FC 1-0 Hibernians | Premier League |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Hibernians 2-2 Valletta FC | Premier League |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Valletta FC 0-2 Hibernians | Premier League |
| Dec 17, 2022 | Hibernians 0-4 Valletta FC | Premier League |
| Aug 21, 2022 | Valletta FC 1-1 Hibernians | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Hibernians vs Valletta FC on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hibernians score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Valletta FC score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hibernians | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Valletta FC | 1.5 | 1.4 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hibernians sit 6th in Premier League (3 points from 2 matches) and Valletta FC sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valletta FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Hibernians | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hibernians vs Valletta FC?
- The Footlab model makes Valletta FC the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Hibernians.
- Where and when is Hibernians vs Valletta FC played?
- Hibernians vs Valletta FC is played on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Tony Bezzina Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.