Florina vs Kastoria: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 3Group 3 - 8Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Florina the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Kastoria. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,862 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Florina vs Kastoria?
On Elo ratings, Florina has 1,502 points and Kastoria 1,436.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Florina vs Kastoria
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Florina
Not enough data to predict the Florina lineup.
Kastoria
Not enough data to predict the Kastoria lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 07:18 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Florina have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Kastoria have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2020 | Niki Agkathia(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Feb 29, 2020 | Giannitsa(home) | 3-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Feb 23, 2020 | Almopos(away) | 0-7 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Feb 16, 2020 | Makedonikos Neapolis(home) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Feb 9, 2020 | Nea Kallikrateia(away) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Anagennisi Artas(home) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Doxa Mascholouriou(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Makedonikos Siatista(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Vatolakkos(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Svoronos(home) | 0-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Florina score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kastoria score 0.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florina | 1.1 | 1.7 | 6 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Kastoria | 0.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Kastoria | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
A question about Florina vs Kastoria?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Florina vs Kastoria?
- The Footlab AI model makes Florina the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Kastoria.
- Where and when is Florina vs Kastoria played?
- Florina vs Kastoria is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.