Fluminense vs Atletico Paranaense: result 3-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 27Kick-off on July 31, 2010 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã), Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro
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What was the result of Fluminense vs Atletico Paranaense?
Fluminense won 3-1 on July 31, 2010.
Goalscorers
- 22′Washington Stecanela CerqueiraFluminense
- 54′Emerson SheikFluminense
- 69′Washington Stecanela CerqueiraFluminense
- 85′Bruno Menezes SoaresAtletico Paranaense
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Fluminense have 7 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Atletico Paranaense have 4, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2010 | Botafogo(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 23, 2010 | Cruzeiro(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 18, 2010 | Santos(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 16, 2010 | Grêmio Barueri(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 5, 2010 | Avai(away) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2010 | Goias(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 22, 2010 | Santos(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 17, 2010 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Jul 14, 2010 | Cruzeiro(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Jun 5, 2010 | Vitoria(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Fluminense score 1.4 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 11; Atletico Paranaense score 1.4 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | 1.4 | 0.6 | 4 | 5/11 | 4/11 |
| Atletico Paranaense | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/11 | 7/11 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fluminense sit 4th in Serie A (41 points from 24 matches) and Atletico Paranaense sit 3rd (41 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 20 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 29 | 41 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy