Fluminense vs Gremio: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 16Kick-off on August 1, 2015 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã), Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro
Full time
What was the result of Fluminense vs Gremio?
Fluminense won 1-0 on August 1, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 77′Marcos JúniorFluminense
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fluminense have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Gremio have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2015 | Chapecoense-sc(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Jul 19, 2015 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Jul 12, 2015 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 10, 2015 | Cruzeiro(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 5, 2015 | Sao Paulo(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2015 | Sport Recife(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 18, 2015 | Flamengo(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 11, 2015 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 8, 2015 | Chapecoense-sc(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 5, 2015 | Santos(away) | 3-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Fluminense win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Gremio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2014 | Fluminense 0-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| May 18, 2014 | Gremio 1-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Oct 12, 2013 | Fluminense 1-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jul 28, 2013 | Gremio 2-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Oct 17, 2012 | Fluminense 2-2 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jul 26, 2012 | Gremio 1-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Fluminense score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.3 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | 1.3 | 1.0 | 7 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Gremio | 1.3 | 1.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fluminense sit 4th in Serie A (41 points from 24 matches) and Gremio sit 15th (25 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fluminense | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 29 | 41 |
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy