Fluminense vs Gremio: result 5-4 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 35Kick-off on November 16, 2011 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã), Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro
Full time
What was the result of Fluminense vs Gremio?
Fluminense won 5-4 on November 16, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 17′Rafael Marques PintoGremio
- 25′Frederico Chaves GuedesFluminense
- 45′MarquinhosGremio
- 53′Frederico Chaves GuedesFluminense
- 62′Rafael Augusto Sóbis do NascimentoFluminense
- 74′BrandãoGremio
- 76′Adílson WarkenGremio
- 78′Frederico Chaves GuedesFluminense (pen.)
- 81′Frederico Chaves GuedesFluminense
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fluminense have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Gremio have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2011 | America Mineiro(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Nov 6, 2011 | Internacional(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 29, 2011 | Ceara(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 22, 2011 | Atletico-MG(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 16, 2011 | Palmeiras(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2011 | Palmeiras(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Nov 5, 2011 | Atletico-MG(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 30, 2011 | Flamengo(home) | 4-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 22, 2011 | America Mineiro(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 16, 2011 | Santos(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Fluminense win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Gremio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2011 | Gremio 2-1 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Oct 28, 2010 | Fluminense 2-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Aug 8, 2010 | Gremio 1-2 Fluminense | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Fluminense score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Gremio | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fluminense sit 4th in Serie A (41 points from 24 matches) and Gremio sit 15th (25 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fluminense | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 29 | 41 |
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy