Fluminense vs Gremio: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 27Kick-off on September 29, 2018 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã), Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro
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What was the result of Fluminense vs Gremio?
Gremio won 0-1 on September 29, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 90′EvertonGremio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fluminense have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Gremio have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2018 | Chapecoense-sc(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 16, 2018 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 9, 2018 | Botafogo(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2018 | Vitoria(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 2, 2018 | Sao Paulo(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2018 | Ceara(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 15, 2018 | Parana(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 9, 2018 | Internacional(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2018 | Santos(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 1, 2018 | Botafogo(home) | 4-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Fluminense win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Gremio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2018 | Gremio 0-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Oct 1, 2017 | Gremio 1-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Jun 16, 2017 | Fluminense 0-2 Gremio | Serie A |
| May 31, 2017 | Fluminense 0-2 Gremio | Copa Do Brasil |
| May 18, 2017 | Gremio 3-1 Fluminense | Copa Do Brasil |
| Sep 18, 2016 | Gremio 0-1 Fluminense | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Fluminense score 0.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.5 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | 0.8 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Gremio | 1.5 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fluminense sit 4th in Serie A (41 points from 24 matches) and Gremio sit 15th (25 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fluminense | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 29 | 41 |
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy