Follo vs Stjørdals-Blink: prediction and stats
2. Division - Group 2Regular Season - 22Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Ski stadion, Ski
The Footlab model makes Stjørdals-Blink the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Follo. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Follo vs Stjørdals-Blink?
Stjørdals-Blink starts as the favourite with a 199-point Elo edge (1,820 vs 1,622).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Follo have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Stjørdals-Blink have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Råde(away) | 2-1 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rana(home) | 1-3 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Junkeren(away) | 1-4 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Trygg/Lade(home) | 1-2 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Tromsdalen Uil(away) | 0-0 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Melhus(away) | 3-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hønefoss(home) | 4-2 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Levanger(away) | 2-1 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rana(home) | 4-2 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Grorud(away) | 1-0 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Follo win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Stjørdals-Blink win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Stjørdals-Blink 1-2 Follo | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Stjørdals-Blink 2-0 Follo | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Follo 1-0 Stjørdals-Blink | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Follo 2-3 Stjørdals-Blink | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Stjørdals-Blink 4-2 Follo | 2. Division - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Stjørdals-Blink vs Follo on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Follo score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Stjørdals-Blink score 2.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Follo | 1.1 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Stjørdals-Blink | 2.0 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Follo sit 13th in 2. Division - Group 2 (9 points from 15 matches) and Stjørdals-Blink sit 7th (23 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Stjørdals-Blink | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 23 |
| 13 | Follo | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Follo vs Stjørdals-Blink?
- The Footlab model makes Stjørdals-Blink the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Follo.
- Where and when is Follo vs Stjørdals-Blink played?
- Follo vs Stjørdals-Blink is played on October 3, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Ski stadion, in the 2. Division - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.