Grorud vs Lørenskog: prediction and stats
2. Division - Group 2Regular Season - 22Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Grorud stadion, Oslo
The Footlab model makes Grorud the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Lørenskog. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Grorud vs Lørenskog?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Grorud (1,858) and Lørenskog (1,784).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grorud have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Lørenskog have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lokomotiv Oslo(away) | 5-1 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Trygg/Lade(away) | 1-0 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Skeid(away) | 5-1 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Stjørdals-Blink(home) | 0-1 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Lørenskog(away) | 0-1 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Moss(home) | 0-3 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eidsvold(home) | 1-7 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Tromsdalen Uil(away) | 0-2 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hønefoss(home) | 1-3 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Junkeren(away) | 0-1 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Grorud win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Lørenskog win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Lørenskog 1-0 Grorud | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Lørenskog 1-3 Grorud | Obos Supercup |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Lørenskog 0-4 Grorud | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Grorud score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lørenskog score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grorud | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Lørenskog | 1.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Grorud sit 5th in 2. Division - Group 2 (26 points from 15 matches) and Lørenskog sit 6th (26 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Grorud | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 15 | 26 |
| 6 | Lørenskog | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Grorud vs Lørenskog?
- The Footlab model makes Grorud the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Lørenskog.
- Where and when is Grorud vs Lørenskog played?
- Grorud vs Lørenskog is played on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Grorud stadion, in the 2. Division - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.