Forest Green vs Southend: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on November 24, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Bolt New Lawn, Nailsworth, Gloucestershire
The Footlab model makes Southend the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Forest Green. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Forest Green vs Southend?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Forest Green (1,847) and Southend (1,945).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Forest Green have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Southend have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Boreham Wood(home) | 0-3 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Worthing(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(home) | 3-2 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Swindon Town(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Solihull Moors(away) | 3-1 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Scunthorpe(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Altrincham(away) | 3-1 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Aveley(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Leyton Orient(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Forest Green win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Southend win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Southend 2-0 Forest Green | National League |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Forest Green 2-1 Southend | National League |
| May 21, 2025 | Forest Green 2-2 Southend | National League |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Forest Green 2-2 Southend | National League |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Southend 2-2 Forest Green | National League |
| Feb 24, 2021 | Forest Green 1-3 Southend | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Southend vs Forest Green on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Forest Green score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Southend score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forest Green | 2.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Southend | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Forest Green sit 10th in National League (6 points from 3 matches) and Southend sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southend | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 10 | Forest Green | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Forest Green vs Southend?
- The Footlab model makes Southend the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Forest Green.
- Where and when is Forest Green vs Southend played?
- Forest Green vs Southend is played on November 24, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Bolt New Lawn, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.