Forest Green vs Southend: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on November 24, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Bolt New Lawn, Nailsworth, Gloucestershire
The Footlab AI model makes Southend the favourite at 67%, against 17% for a draw and 16% for Forest Green. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Forest Green vs Southend?
Southend starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (2,011 vs 1,877).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Forest Green vs Southend
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Forest Green
4-3-3- 7K. McAllister
- 20Sean Etaluku
- 19J. Marquez
- 6T. Campbell
- 29K. Abrefa
- 4J. Clarke
- 5K. Ajayi
- 27F. Sass
- 26Filozofe Mabete
- 3N. Kengni
- 1E. Ross
Southend
4-3-3- 9H. Cardwell
- 14P. Omochere
- 27R. Colclough
- 19L. Chambers-Parillon
- 8D. Oldaker
- 4A. Hartigan
- 2V. Campbell
- 3Kyle James McAdam
- 6B. Goodliffe
- 20D. Cox
- 1J. Duncan
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:28 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Forest Green have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Southend have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hartlepool(home) | 2-4 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Wealdstone(home) | 1-1 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sutton Utd(away) | 3-3 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Boston United(home) | 1-3 | National League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Carlisle(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Boston United(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | AFC Fylde(home) | 3-1 | National League |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Eastleigh(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Barrow(home) | 2-4 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Gateshead(away) | 6-1 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Forest Green win, 3 draws, 2 Southend wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Southend 2-0 Forest Green | National League |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Forest Green 2-1 Southend | National League |
| May 21, 2025 | Forest Green 2-2 Southend | National League |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Forest Green 2-2 Southend | National League |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Southend 2-2 Forest Green | National League |
| Feb 24, 2021 | Forest Green 1-3 Southend | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Southend vs Forest Green on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Forest Green score 1.6 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Southend score 2.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forest Green | 1.6 | 2.2 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Southend | 2.4 | 1.3 | 2 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Forest Green sit 16th in National League (15 points from 12 matches) and Southend sit 3rd (27 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Southend | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 19 | 27 |
| 16 | Forest Green | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 22 | 15 |
A question about Forest Green vs Southend?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Forest Green vs Southend?
- The Footlab AI model makes Southend the favourite at 67%, against 17% for a draw and 16% for Forest Green.
- Where and when is Forest Green vs Southend played?
- Forest Green vs Southend is played on November 24, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Bolt New Lawn, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.