Carlisle vs Tamworth: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on November 24, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria
The Footlab AI model makes Carlisle the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Tamworth. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,515 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Carlisle vs Tamworth?
Carlisle starts as the favourite with a 181-point Elo edge (1,917 vs 1,736).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Carlisle vs Tamworth
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Carlisle
4-3-3- 7D. Ajiboye
- 10R. Linney
- 19M. Obiero
- 30T. Jenks
- 8C. Whelan
- 4H. Bunker
- 17L. Duru
- 5M. Feeney
- 15B. Nicholson
- 22J. Williams
- 1A. Desbois
Tamworth
4-3-3- 10K. Donnelly
- 23J. Hutchinson
- 9D. Creaney
- 19T. McGlinchey
- 4T. Kurtaran
- 30M. Roberts
- 12J. Rye
- 29H. Carson
- 5T. Parkes
- 3T. Handley
- 39R. Lovett
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 03:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carlisle have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Tamworth have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Altrincham(away) | 4-2 | National League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Harrogate Town(home) | 3-0 | National League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Solihull Moors(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Tamworth(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(home) | 0-0 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Everton U21(home) | 2-3 | National League Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Woking(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Scunthorpe(home) | 4-1 | National League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Carlisle(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Barrow(home) | 1-2 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Carlisle wins, 0 draws, 1 Tamworth win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Carlisle 2-1 Tamworth | FA Cup |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Tamworth 2-1 Carlisle | National League |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Carlisle 2-1 Tamworth | National League |
How many goals should we expect?
Carlisle score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tamworth score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Tamworth | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Carlisle sit 8th in National League (26 points from 16 matches) and Tamworth sit 20th (17 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Carlisle | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 32 | 23 | 26 |
| 20 | Tamworth | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 32 | 17 |
A question about Carlisle vs Tamworth?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Carlisle vs Tamworth?
- The Footlab AI model makes Carlisle the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Tamworth.
- Where and when is Carlisle vs Tamworth played?
- Carlisle vs Tamworth is played on November 24, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Brunton Park, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.