Forest Green vs Worthing: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Bolt New Lawn, Nailsworth, Gloucestershire
The Footlab model makes Worthing the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Forest Green. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Forest Green vs Worthing?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Forest Green (1,847) and Worthing (1,943).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Forest Green have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Worthing have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Boreham Wood(home) | 0-3 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Worthing(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(home) | 3-2 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Swindon Town(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wealdstone(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | West Ham United U21(home) | 1-2 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Forest Green(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Carlisle(away) | 3-2 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Horsham(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Forest Green win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Worthing win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Worthing 1-2 Forest Green | National League |
| Oct 13, 2025 | Worthing 1-4 Forest Green | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Worthing vs Forest Green on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Forest Green score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Worthing score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forest Green | 2.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Worthing | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Forest Green sit 10th in National League (6 points from 3 matches) and Worthing sit 9th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Worthing | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Forest Green | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Forest Green vs Worthing?
- The Footlab model makes Worthing the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Forest Green.
- Where and when is Forest Green vs Worthing played?
- Forest Green vs Worthing is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Bolt New Lawn, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.