Carlisle vs Yeovil Town: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria
The Footlab AI model makes Carlisle the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Yeovil Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Carlisle wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,931 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Carlisle vs Yeovil Town?
Carlisle starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,876 vs 1,762).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Carlisle vs Yeovil Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Carlisle
3-5-2- 7D. Ajiboye
- 10R. Linney
- 17L. Duru
- 8C. Whelan
- 30T. Jenks
- 4H. Bunker
- 32C. Camps
- 5M. Feeney
- 15B. Nicholson
- 22J. Williams
- 1A. Desbois
Yeovil Town
4-4-2- 20J. Powell
- 19S. Spasov
- 14B. McGavin
- 4H. Muller
- 10R. Jones
- 25Z. Westbrooke
- 5Jack Kingdon
- 11J. Daly
- 15J. Gubbins
- 3J. Norville-Williams
- 1J. Barker
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 10:03 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carlisle have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Yeovil Town have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Salford City(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Altrincham(away) | 4-2 | National League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Harrogate Town(home) | 3-0 | National League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Solihull Moors(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Tamworth(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Chesterfield(away) | 3-4 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(away) | 0-2 | National League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | AFC Hornchurch(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Altrincham(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Leatherhead(home) | 5-2 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Carlisle wins, 3 draws, 1 Yeovil Town win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Yeovil Town 1-1 Carlisle | National League |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Carlisle 3-0 Yeovil Town | National League |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Yeovil Town 1-1 Carlisle | National League |
| May 4, 2019 | Yeovil Town 0-0 Carlisle | League Two |
| Oct 27, 2018 | Carlisle 0-1 Yeovil Town | League Two |
| Feb 24, 2018 | Yeovil Town 0-1 Carlisle | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Yeovil Town vs Carlisle on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Carlisle score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Yeovil Town score 2.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Yeovil Town | 2.6 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Carlisle sit 8th in National League (26 points from 16 matches) and Yeovil Town sit 5th (28 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Yeovil Town | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 20 | 28 |
| 8 | Carlisle | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 32 | 23 | 26 |
A question about Carlisle vs Yeovil Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Carlisle vs Yeovil Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Carlisle the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Yeovil Town.
- Where and when is Carlisle vs Yeovil Town played?
- Carlisle vs Yeovil Town is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Brunton Park, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.