Hartlepool vs Aldershot Town: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Suit Direct Stadium, Hartlepool, County Durham
The Footlab AI model makes Hartlepool the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Aldershot Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Hartlepool wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,751 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hartlepool vs Aldershot Town?
On Elo ratings, Hartlepool has 1,670 points and Aldershot Town 1,676.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hartlepool vs Aldershot Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hartlepool
4-3-3- 10W. Harris
- 17J. Nolan
- 9J. Hugill
- 14N. Sheron
- 42Cole Deeming
- 8Jamie Miley
- 6R. McNally
- 52M. Clark
- 5M. Kouogun
- 12Neo Eccleston
- 1Max Merrick
Aldershot Town
4-3-3- 10B. Tuma
- 21B. Peart
- 11Hakeem Kwabena Owusu Sandah
- 6D. Odusanya
- 3O. Harfield
- 23C. Lawless
- 5Kiki Oshilaja
- 12Michael George Stickland
- 17T. Dyce
- 2M. Efete
- 1N. Hayes
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 07:11 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hartlepool have 4 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; Aldershot Town have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Leeds United U21(home) | 3-1 | National League Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Boreham Wood(away) | 3-4 | National League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | AFC Fylde(away) | 1-3 | National League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | AFC Hornchurch(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Marine(home) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Ipswich Town U21(home) | 0-5 | National League Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Gateshead(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Sutton Utd(away) | 0-2 | National League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Wealdstone(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Tadley Calleva(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Hartlepool wins, 0 draws, 3 Aldershot Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aldershot Town 0-1 Hartlepool | National League |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Hartlepool 0-3 Aldershot Town | National League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Aldershot Town 1-0 Hartlepool | National League |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Aldershot Town 3-2 Hartlepool | National League |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Hartlepool 2-0 Aldershot Town | National League |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Hartlepool 2-0 Aldershot Town | National League |
Last archived meeting: Aldershot Town vs Hartlepool on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hartlepool score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Aldershot Town score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hartlepool | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Aldershot Town | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hartlepool sit 21st in National League (15 points from 16 matches) and Aldershot Town sit 14th (21 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Aldershot Town | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 21 |
| 21 | Hartlepool | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 18 | 27 | 15 |
A question about Hartlepool vs Aldershot Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hartlepool vs Aldershot Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Hartlepool the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Aldershot Town.
- Where and when is Hartlepool vs Aldershot Town played?
- Hartlepool vs Aldershot Town is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Suit Direct Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.