Forfar Athletic vs Dumbarton: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Station Park, Forfar
The Footlab AI model makes Forfar Athletic the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Dumbarton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Forfar Athletic wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Forfar Athletic vs Dumbarton?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Forfar Athletic (1,453) and Dumbarton (1,430).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Forfar Athletic vs Dumbarton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Forfar Athletic
4-3-3- 9S. Shepherd
- 22Luca Perrie
- 10M. Rennie
- 16A. Arnott
- 19E. Crombie
- 12B. Alston
- 4J. Wyllie
- 15Mackenzie Lemon
- 14A. Mailer
- 5M. Allan
- 21Neil Stafford
Dumbarton
5-3-2- 21S. Honeyman
- 20Robert James Karl Cleary
- 8J. Todd
- 6O. Hartington
- 10D. Craig
- 24M. Doyle
- 3A. Omar
- 5T. Lang
- 19C. McKenna
- 34T. Robson
- 54M. Munn
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:01 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Forfar Athletic have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Dumbarton have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Ross County(away) | 1-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Elgin City(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dumbarton(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Formartine United(home) | 2-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Dundee United II(home) | 2-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Clydebank(away) | 0-4 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Clyde(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Banks O' Dee(home) | 3-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Kilmarnock II(home) | 3-2 | Challenge Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Forfar Athletic wins, 1 draw, 3 Dumbarton wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dumbarton 2-1 Forfar Athletic | League Two |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Dumbarton 2-2 Forfar Athletic | League Two |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Forfar Athletic 2-0 Dumbarton | League Two |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Dumbarton 1-4 Forfar Athletic | League Two |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Forfar Athletic 2-3 Dumbarton | League Two |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Forfar Athletic 0-2 Dumbarton | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Dumbarton vs Forfar Athletic on Oct 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Forfar Athletic score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Dumbarton score 1.4 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forfar Athletic | 1.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Dumbarton | 1.4 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Forfar Athletic sit 7th in League Two (11 points from 10 matches) and Dumbarton sit 6th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Dumbarton | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 12 |
| 7 | Forfar Athletic | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 11 |
A question about Forfar Athletic vs Dumbarton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Forfar Athletic vs Dumbarton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Forfar Athletic the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Dumbarton.
- Where and when is Forfar Athletic vs Dumbarton played?
- Forfar Athletic vs Dumbarton is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Station Park, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.