Edinburgh City vs Stranraer: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Meadowbank Stadium, Edinburgh
The Footlab AI model makes Stranraer the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Edinburgh City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Stranraer wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,829 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Edinburgh City vs Stranraer?
Stranraer starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,567 vs 1,467).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Edinburgh City vs Stranraer
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Edinburgh City
4-3-3- 7L. Walker
- 11I. Lawson
- 20T. North
- 18M. Aiken
- 21F. Rowe
- 10J. Jarvis
- 2C. McGinn
- 23J. McGregor
- 5J. Grigor
- 5J. Walker
- 1M. Weir
Stranraer
4-1-3-2- 16Lewis Dobbie
- 11A. Healy
- 8A. Quigg
- 12A. Traynor
- 24S. Mason
- 14Z. Bruce
- 4M. McLuckie
- 2E. Dunne
- 5Kenzi Nair
- 3F. Ecrepont
- 1M. Currie
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 01:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Edinburgh City have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Stranraer have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Kelty Hearts(home) | 4-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Elgin City(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 13, 2026 | St. Mirren U21(home) | 0-5 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Spartans(home) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Stranraer(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Tayport(home) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Spartans(away) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Kilmarnock II(home) | 3-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Annan Athletic(away) | 6-1 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Edinburgh City(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Edinburgh City wins, 2 draws, 1 Stranraer win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Stranraer 0-0 Edinburgh City | League Two |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Stranraer 0-2 Edinburgh City | League Cup |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Edinburgh City 4-1 Stranraer | League Two |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Stranraer 1-1 Edinburgh City | League Two |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Edinburgh City 1-3 Stranraer | League Two |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Stranraer 1-2 Edinburgh City | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Stranraer vs Edinburgh City on Oct 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Edinburgh City score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Stranraer score 2.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edinburgh City | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Stranraer | 2.8 | 1.3 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Edinburgh City sit 8th in League Two (11 points from 11 matches) and Stranraer sit 1st (23 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stranraer | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 9 | 23 |
| 8 | Edinburgh City | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 18 | 11 |
A question about Edinburgh City vs Stranraer?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Edinburgh City vs Stranraer?
- The Footlab AI model makes Stranraer the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Edinburgh City.
- Where and when is Edinburgh City vs Stranraer played?
- Edinburgh City vs Stranraer is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Meadowbank Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.