Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Borough Briggs, Elgin
The Footlab model makes Elgin City the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Forfar Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Elgin City (1,564) and Forfar Athletic (1,528).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elgin City have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Forfar Athletic have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Spartans(away) | 3-3 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kelty Hearts(home) | 4-1 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Ross County(home) | 1-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Edinburgh City(away) | 5-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Clyde(away) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stirling Albion(home) | 3-0 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Aberdeen U21(home) | 0-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Elgin City(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kelty Hearts(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Elgin City win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Forfar Athletic win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Elgin City 1-1 Forfar Athletic | League Two |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Forfar Athletic 2-1 Elgin City | League Two |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Elgin City 2-0 Forfar Athletic | League Two |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Forfar Athletic 4-2 Elgin City | League Two |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Elgin City 2-1 Forfar Athletic | League Two |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Elgin City 0-1 Forfar Athletic | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Elgin City score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Forfar Athletic score 0.9 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elgin City | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Forfar Athletic | 0.9 | 2.5 | 2 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Elgin City sit 2nd in League Two (8 points from 4 matches) and Forfar Athletic sit 3rd (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Elgin City | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 8 |
| 3 | Forfar Athletic | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic?
- The Footlab model makes Elgin City the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Forfar Athletic.
- Where and when is Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic played?
- Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Borough Briggs, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.