Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Borough Briggs, Elgin
The Footlab AI model makes Elgin City the favourite at 75%, against 16% for a draw and 9% for Forfar Athletic. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic?
On Elo ratings, Elgin City has 1,554 points and Forfar Athletic 1,460.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Elgin City
3-4-1-2- 9K. Hester
- 11O. Colloty
- 7R. Dingwall
- 22J. Maciver
- 10M. Gallagher
- 77L. Scullion
- 23M. Grant
- 2M. Neill
- 5K. Girvan
- 6J. Murray
- 1T. Ritchie
Forfar Athletic
4-3-3- 9S. Shepherd
- 22Luca Perrie
- 10M. Rennie
- 16A. Arnott
- 19E. Crombie
- 12B. Alston
- 4J. Wyllie
- 15Mackenzie Lemon
- 14A. Mailer
- 5M. Allan
- 21Neil Stafford
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:23 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elgin City have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Forfar Athletic have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Aberdeen U21(home) | 0-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Clyde(home) | 6-2 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Peterhead(away) | 1-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Dundee II(home) | 3-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Ross County(away) | 1-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Elgin City(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dumbarton(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Formartine United(home) | 2-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Dundee United II(home) | 2-1 | Challenge Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Elgin City wins, 1 draw, 2 Forfar Athletic wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Forfar Athletic 1-2 Elgin City | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Elgin City 1-1 Forfar Athletic | League Two |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Forfar Athletic 2-1 Elgin City | League Two |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Elgin City 2-0 Forfar Athletic | League Two |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Forfar Athletic 4-2 Elgin City | League Two |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Elgin City 2-1 Forfar Athletic | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Forfar Athletic vs Elgin City on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Elgin City score 2.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Forfar Athletic score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elgin City | 2.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Forfar Athletic | 1.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Elgin City sit 3rd in League Two (17 points from 10 matches) and Forfar Athletic sit 7th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Elgin City | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 17 | 17 |
| 7 | Forfar Athletic | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 11 |
A question about Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic?
- The Footlab AI model makes Elgin City the favourite at 75%, against 16% for a draw and 9% for Forfar Athletic.
- Where and when is Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic played?
- Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Borough Briggs, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.