Where and when is Forge vs HFX Wanderers FC played?

Forge vs HFX Wanderers FC is played on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Hamilton Stadium, in the Canadian Premier League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Forge vs HFX Wanderers FC: prediction and stats

Canadian Premier LeagueGroup StageKick-off on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Hamilton Stadium, Hamilton

Forge

HFX Wanderers FC

The Footlab model makes Forge the favourite at 71%, against 19% for a draw and 10% for HFX Wanderers FC. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Forge vs HFX Wanderers FC?

Forge starts as the favourite with a 208-point Elo edge (1,869 vs 1,662).

Forge win71 %

Draw19 %

HFX Wanderers FC win10 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Forge have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; HFX Wanderers FC have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Forge
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Pacific FC(home)	2-0	Canadian Premier League
Aug 19, 2026	Supra du Quebec(home)	3-2	Canadian Premier League
Aug 15, 2026	Cavalry FC(away)	1-2	Canadian Premier League
Aug 7, 2026	Vancouver FC(home)	0-1	Canadian Premier League
Aug 2, 2026	HFX Wanderers FC(away)	0-0	Canadian Premier League

HFX Wanderers FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Vancouver FC(home)	1-0	Canadian Premier League
Aug 16, 2026	York United(away)	3-4	Canadian Premier League
Aug 8, 2026	Atlético Ottawa(away)	1-2	Canadian Premier League
Aug 2, 2026	Forge(home)	0-0	Canadian Premier League
Jul 24, 2026	Supra du Quebec(home)	2-3	Canadian Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Forge win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 HFX Wanderers FC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 2, 2026	HFX Wanderers FC 0-0 Forge	Canadian Premier League
Jun 10, 2026	Forge 1-0 HFX Wanderers FC	Canadian Premier League
May 9, 2026	Forge 4-0 HFX Wanderers FC	Canadian Championship
May 2, 2026	HFX Wanderers FC 1-3 Forge	Canadian Premier League
Sep 6, 2025	Forge 1-0 HFX Wanderers FC	Canadian Premier League
Jul 25, 2025	HFX Wanderers FC 1-2 Forge	Canadian Premier League

Last archived meeting: HFX Wanderers FC vs Forge on Aug 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Forge score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; HFX Wanderers FC score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Forge	1.7	0.9	5	9/15	8/15
HFX Wanderers FC	1.2	1.7	3	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Forge sit 1st in Canadian Premier League (41 points from 18 matches) and HFX Wanderers FC sit 5th (20 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Forge	18	13	2	3	29	13	41
5	HFX Wanderers FC	19	5	5	9	25	30	20

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Forge vs HFX Wanderers FC?: The Footlab model makes Forge the favourite at 71%, against 19% for a draw and 10% for HFX Wanderers FC.
Where and when is Forge vs HFX Wanderers FC played?: Forge vs HFX Wanderers FC is played on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Hamilton Stadium, in the Canadian Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.