Formartine United vs Nairn County: prediction and stats
Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 9Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)North Lodge Park, Pitmedden
The Footlab model makes Formartine United the favourite at 72%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for Nairn County. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Formartine United vs Nairn County?
Formartine United starts as the favourite with a 236-point Elo edge (1,673 vs 1,437).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Formartine United have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Nairn County have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Keith(home) | 4-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Rothes(away) | 4-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Invergordon(away) | 2-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dundee II(home) | 4-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Huntly(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Clachnacuddin(away) | 1-6 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lossiemouth(home) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fraserburgh(away) | 0-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Inverurie Loco Works(away) | 1-3 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Forres Mechanics(home) | 1-2 | Football League - Highland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Formartine United win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Nairn County win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | Nairn County 1-2 Formartine United | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Formartine United 2-0 Nairn County | Football League - Highland League |
| Apr 9, 2025 | Formartine United 2-0 Nairn County | Football League - Highland League |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Nairn County 1-1 Formartine United | Football League - Highland League |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Nairn County 0-2 Formartine United | Football League - Highland League |
| Feb 21, 2024 | Formartine United 5-1 Nairn County | Football League - Highland League |
Last archived meeting: Nairn County vs Formartine United on Dec 20, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Formartine United score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nairn County score 1.0 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Formartine United | 1.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Nairn County | 1.0 | 2.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Formartine United sit 3rd in Football League - Highland League (71 points from 34 matches) and Nairn County sit 9th (49 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Formartine United | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 65 | 27 | 71 |
| 9 | Nairn County | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 56 | 52 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Formartine United vs Nairn County?
- The Footlab model makes Formartine United the favourite at 72%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for Nairn County.
- Where and when is Formartine United vs Nairn County played?
- Formartine United vs Nairn County is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at North Lodge Park, in the Football League - Highland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.