Invergordon vs Strathspey Thistle: prediction and stats
Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 9Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Invergordon Recreation Grounds, Invergordon
The Footlab model makes Strathspey Thistle the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Invergordon. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Invergordon vs Strathspey Thistle?
Invergordon starts as the favourite with a 165-point Elo edge (1,514 vs 1,349).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Invergordon have 3 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Strathspey Thistle have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Buckie Thistle(home) | 0-6 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wick Academy(away) | 2-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Formartine United(home) | 1-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deveronvale(home) | 3-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Clachnacuddin(away) | 0-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Turriff United(away) | 2-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Brora Rangers(home) | 1-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Inverurie Loco Works(home) | 1-3 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Banks O' Dee(away) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Buckie Thistle(home) | 0-2 | Football League - Highland League |
How many goals should we expect?
Invergordon score 1.2 and concede 2.8 goals per match over their last 12; Strathspey Thistle score 1.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Invergordon | 1.2 | 2.8 | 2 | 7/12 | 10/12 |
| Strathspey Thistle | 1.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Strathspey Thistle | 34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 49 | 83 | 41 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Invergordon vs Strathspey Thistle?
- The Footlab model makes Strathspey Thistle the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Invergordon.
- Where and when is Invergordon vs Strathspey Thistle played?
- Invergordon vs Strathspey Thistle is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Invergordon Recreation Grounds, in the Football League - Highland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.