Forres Mechanics vs Buckie Thistle: prediction and stats
Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 10Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Mosset Park, Forres
The Footlab model makes Buckie Thistle the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Forres Mechanics. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Forres Mechanics vs Buckie Thistle?
Buckie Thistle starts as the favourite with a 195-point Elo edge (1,656 vs 1,460).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Forres Mechanics have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Buckie Thistle have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Deveronvale(away) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Clachnacuddin(home) | 2-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lossiemouth(away) | 1-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fraserburgh(home) | 0-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Nairn County(away) | 2-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Invergordon(away) | 6-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Turriff United(away) | 2-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brora Rangers(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Strathspey Thistle(away) | 2-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Banks O' Dee(home) | 7-2 | Football League - Highland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Forres Mechanics win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Buckie Thistle win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Forres Mechanics 0-4 Buckie Thistle | Football League - Highland League |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Buckie Thistle 2-0 Forres Mechanics | Football League - Highland League |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Forres Mechanics 1-1 Buckie Thistle | Football League - Highland League |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Buckie Thistle 1-2 Forres Mechanics | Football League - Highland League |
| Dec 30, 2023 | Forres Mechanics 1-8 Buckie Thistle | Football League - Highland League |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Forres Mechanics 0-1 Buckie Thistle | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Forres Mechanics vs Buckie Thistle on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Forres Mechanics score 1.6 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Buckie Thistle score 2.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forres Mechanics | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Buckie Thistle | 2.4 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Forres Mechanics sit 13th in Football League - Highland League (40 points from 34 matches) and Buckie Thistle sit 8th (53 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Buckie Thistle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 62 | 47 | 53 |
| 13 | Forres Mechanics | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 67 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Forres Mechanics vs Buckie Thistle?
- The Footlab model makes Buckie Thistle the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Forres Mechanics.
- Where and when is Forres Mechanics vs Buckie Thistle played?
- Forres Mechanics vs Buckie Thistle is played on September 16, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Mosset Park, in the Football League - Highland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 16, 2026Banks O' DeevsKeith
- Sep 16, 2026Brora RangersvsInvergordon
- Sep 16, 2026FraserburghvsFormartine United
- Sep 16, 2026Inverurie Loco WorksvsClachnacuddin
- Sep 16, 2026LossiemouthvsDeveronvale
- Sep 16, 2026Nairn CountyvsWick Academy
- Sep 16, 2026Strathspey ThistlevsRothes
- Sep 16, 2026Turriff UnitedvsHuntly