Nairn County vs Wick Academy: prediction and stats
Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 10Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Station Park, Nairn
The Footlab model makes Nairn County the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Wick Academy. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nairn County vs Wick Academy?
Nairn County starts as the favourite with a 169-point Elo edge (1,434 vs 1,264).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nairn County have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Wick Academy have 1, 1 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Clachnacuddin(away) | 1-6 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lossiemouth(home) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fraserburgh(away) | 0-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Inverurie Loco Works(away) | 1-3 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Forres Mechanics(home) | 1-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rothes(away) | 2-3 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Invergordon(home) | 1-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Huntly(away) | 0-3 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Turriff United(home) | 0-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Brora Rangers(away) | 0-8 | Football League - Highland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Nairn County win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Wick Academy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Nairn County 1-1 Wick Academy | Football League - Highland League |
| Sep 10, 2025 | Wick Academy 1-2 Nairn County | Football League - Highland League |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Wick Academy 4-2 Nairn County | Football League - Highland League |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Nairn County 3-0 Wick Academy | Football League - Highland League |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Wick Academy 2-3 Nairn County | Football League - Highland League |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Nairn County 2-0 Wick Academy | Football League - Highland League |
Last archived meeting: Nairn County vs Wick Academy on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nairn County score 1.0 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Wick Academy score 0.6 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nairn County | 1.0 | 2.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Wick Academy | 0.6 | 2.7 | 1 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nairn County sit 9th in Football League - Highland League (49 points from 34 matches) and Wick Academy sit 16th (28 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nairn County | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 56 | 52 | 49 |
| 16 | Wick Academy | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 65 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nairn County vs Wick Academy?
- The Footlab model makes Nairn County the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Wick Academy.
- Where and when is Nairn County vs Wick Academy played?
- Nairn County vs Wick Academy is played on September 16, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Station Park, in the Football League - Highland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 16, 2026Banks O' DeevsKeith
- Sep 16, 2026Brora RangersvsInvergordon
- Sep 16, 2026FraserburghvsFormartine United
- Sep 16, 2026Forres MechanicsvsBuckie Thistle
- Sep 16, 2026Inverurie Loco WorksvsClachnacuddin
- Sep 16, 2026LossiemouthvsDeveronvale
- Sep 16, 2026Strathspey ThistlevsRothes
- Sep 16, 2026Turriff UnitedvsHuntly