Fraserburgh vs Formartine United: prediction and stats
Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 10Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Bellslea Park, Fraserburgh
The Footlab model makes Fraserburgh the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Formartine United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fraserburgh vs Formartine United?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Fraserburgh (1,664) and Formartine United (1,669).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fraserburgh have 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Formartine United have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lossiemouth(away) | 4-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Inverurie Loco Works(away) | 1-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nairn County(home) | 2-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Montrose(away) | 0-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Forres Mechanics(away) | 2-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Keith(home) | 4-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Rothes(away) | 4-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Invergordon(away) | 2-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dundee II(home) | 4-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Huntly(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Highland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Fraserburgh win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Formartine United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Formartine United 1-1 Fraserburgh | Football League - Highland League |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Fraserburgh 2-2 Formartine United | Football League - Highland League |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Formartine United 2-1 Fraserburgh | Football League - Highland League |
| Oct 16, 2024 | Fraserburgh 2-0 Formartine United | Football League - Highland League |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Formartine United 2-2 Fraserburgh | Football League - Highland League |
| Oct 4, 2023 | Fraserburgh 1-2 Formartine United | Football League - Highland League |
Last archived meeting: Formartine United vs Fraserburgh on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fraserburgh score 2.5 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Formartine United score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fraserburgh | 2.5 | 0.6 | 10 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Formartine United | 1.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fraserburgh sit 4th in Football League - Highland League (68 points from 34 matches) and Formartine United sit 3rd (71 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Formartine United | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 65 | 27 | 71 |
| 4 | Fraserburgh | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 75 | 39 | 68 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fraserburgh vs Formartine United?
- The Footlab model makes Fraserburgh the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Formartine United.
- Where and when is Fraserburgh vs Formartine United played?
- Fraserburgh vs Formartine United is played on September 16, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Bellslea Park, in the Football League - Highland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 16, 2026Banks O' DeevsKeith
- Sep 16, 2026Brora RangersvsInvergordon
- Sep 16, 2026Forres MechanicsvsBuckie Thistle
- Sep 16, 2026Inverurie Loco WorksvsClachnacuddin
- Sep 16, 2026LossiemouthvsDeveronvale
- Sep 16, 2026Nairn CountyvsWick Academy
- Sep 16, 2026Strathspey ThistlevsRothes
- Sep 16, 2026Turriff UnitedvsHuntly