Fort Wayne vs Boise: prediction and stats
USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Fort Wayne the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Boise. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fort Wayne vs Boise?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Fort Wayne (1,720) and Boise (1,719).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fort Wayne have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Boise have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chattanooga Red Wolves(home) | 1-2 | USL League One |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Alta(away) | 0-3 | USL League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Union Omaha(home) | 0-2 | USL League One |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Spokane Velocity(away) | 1-3 | USL League One |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Greenville Triumph(home) | 3-0 | USL League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | One Knoxville(away) | 2-2 | USL League One |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Sporting San Jose(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Forward Madison(home) | 2-1 | USL League One |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Corpus Christi(home) | 0-0 | USL League One |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Greenville Triumph(away) | 2-3 | USL League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Fort Wayne win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Boise win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Boise 1-3 Fort Wayne | USL League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Fort Wayne score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Boise score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Wayne | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Boise | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fort Wayne sit 10th in USL League One (27 points from 20 matches) and Boise sit 6th (35 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Boise | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 33 | 31 | 35 |
| 10 | Fort Wayne | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fort Wayne vs Boise?
- The Footlab model makes Fort Wayne the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Boise.
- Where and when is Fort Wayne vs Boise played?
- Fort Wayne vs Boise is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC), in the USL League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 8, 2026Westchester SC2-3One Knoxville
- Mar 8, 2026Naples2-0Fort Wayne
- Mar 8, 2026Sarasota Paradise0-1Boise
- Mar 8, 2026Alta1-1Richmond Kickers
- Mar 8, 2026TormentavsSpokane Velocity
- Mar 14, 2026NY Cosmos1-3Portland Hearts of Pine
- Mar 14, 2026TormentavsAlta
- Mar 14, 2026Greenville Triumph1-2Chattanooga Red Wolves