Match

Fort Wayne vs Boise: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)

Fort WayneBoise

The Footlab model makes Fort Wayne the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Boise. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fort Wayne vs Boise?

A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Fort Wayne (1,720) and Boise (1,719).

Fort Wayne win55 %
Draw23 %
Boise win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fort Wayne have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Boise have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fort Wayne
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Chattanooga Red Wolves(home)1-2USL League One
Aug 9, 2026Alta(away)0-3USL League One
Aug 1, 2026Union Omaha(home)0-2USL League One
Jul 26, 2026Spokane Velocity(away)1-3USL League One
Jul 18, 2026Greenville Triumph(home)3-0USL League One
Boise
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026One Knoxville(away)2-2USL League One
Aug 13, 2026Sporting San Jose(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 9, 2026Forward Madison(home)2-1USL League One
Aug 2, 2026Corpus Christi(home)0-0USL League One
Jul 29, 2026Greenville Triumph(away)2-3USL League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Fort Wayne win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Boise win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Boise 1-3 Fort WayneUSL League One

Last archived meeting: Boise vs Fort Wayne on May 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Fort Wayne score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Boise score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Fort Wayne1.31.549/159/15
Boise1.51.3510/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fort Wayne sit 10th in USL League One (27 points from 20 matches) and Boise sit 6th (35 points from 22 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Boise221057333135
10Fort Wayne20767262427

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fort Wayne vs Boise?
The Footlab model makes Fort Wayne the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Boise.
Where and when is Fort Wayne vs Boise played?
Fort Wayne vs Boise is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC), in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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