Fort Wayne vs Boise: prediction and stats
USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Boise the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Fort Wayne. The most likely score is 1-1. If Boise wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fort Wayne vs Boise?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Fort Wayne (1,840) and Boise (1,836).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fort Wayne vs Boise
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fort Wayne
4-3-3- 21R. Becher
- 12K. Gafar
- 18E. Nieto
- 11T. Healy
- 41J. Musa
- 10C. Awoudor
- 4T. Dias
- 17Logan Neidlinger
- 13S. Rempel
- 3A. Vukovic
- 1B. Schipmann
Boise
4-3-3- 11T. Moshobane
- 36Jesús Rafael Barea Barroso
- 17J. Hanson
- 66P. Mayaka
- 14N. Moon
- 10D. Kostyshyn
- 25J. Dengler
- 16J. Crull
- 15J. Yaro
- 2J. Ricketts
- 8D. Gasso
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:28 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fort Wayne have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Boise have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Union Omaha(away) | 1-0 | USL League One |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Corpus Christi(away) | 3-1 | USL League One |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Forward Madison(home) | 0-0 | USL League One |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Charlotte Independence(away) | 1-1 | USL League One |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Naples(home) | 2-2 | USL League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Portland Hearts of Pine(away) | 2-1 | USL League One |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Greenville Triumph(home) | 1-0 | USL League One |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Corpus Christi(away) | 1-2 | USL League One |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Spokane Velocity(away) | 2-2 | USL League One |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Charlotte Independence(home) | 1-1 | USL League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Fort Wayne win, 0 draws, 0 Boise wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Boise 1-3 Fort Wayne | USL League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Fort Wayne score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Boise score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Wayne | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Boise | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fort Wayne sit 8th in USL League One (45 points from 30 matches) and Boise sit 4th (52 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Boise | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47 | 40 | 52 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 46 | 37 | 45 |
A question about Fort Wayne vs Boise?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fort Wayne vs Boise?
- The Footlab AI model makes Boise the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Fort Wayne.
- Where and when is Fort Wayne vs Boise played?
- Fort Wayne vs Boise is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC), in the USL League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 8, 2026Westchester SC2-3One Knoxville
- Mar 8, 2026Naples2-0Fort Wayne
- Mar 8, 2026Sarasota Paradise0-1Boise
- Mar 8, 2026Alta1-1Richmond Kickers
- Mar 8, 2026TormentavsSpokane Velocity
- Mar 14, 2026NY Cosmos1-3Portland Hearts of Pine
- Mar 14, 2026TormentavsAlta
- Mar 14, 2026Greenville Triumph1-2Chattanooga Red Wolves