Where and when is Fort Wayne vs Forward Madison played?

Fort Wayne vs Forward Madison is played on October 3, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC), in the USL League One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Fort Wayne vs Forward Madison: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on October 3, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)

Fort Wayne

Forward Madison

The Footlab model makes Fort Wayne the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Forward Madison. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fort Wayne vs Forward Madison?

A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Fort Wayne (1,720) and Forward Madison (1,748).

Fort Wayne win49 %

Draw25 %

Forward Madison win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fort Wayne have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Forward Madison have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fort Wayne
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Chattanooga Red Wolves(home)	1-2	USL League One
Aug 9, 2026	Alta(away)	0-3	USL League One
Aug 1, 2026	Union Omaha(home)	0-2	USL League One
Jul 26, 2026	Spokane Velocity(away)	1-3	USL League One
Jul 18, 2026	Greenville Triumph(home)	3-0	USL League One

Forward Madison
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Charlotte Independence(home)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 16, 2026	Portland Hearts of Pine(away)	2-1	USL League One
Aug 13, 2026	Greenville Triumph(home)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 9, 2026	Boise(away)	1-2	USL League One
Aug 2, 2026	Westchester SC(home)	2-0	USL League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Fort Wayne win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Forward Madison win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 18, 2026	Forward Madison 1-1 Fort Wayne	USL League One

Last archived meeting: Forward Madison vs Fort Wayne on Jun 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Fort Wayne score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Forward Madison score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Fort Wayne	1.3	1.5	4	9/15	9/15
Forward Madison	2.2	1.1	3	10/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fort Wayne sit 10th in USL League One (27 points from 20 matches) and Forward Madison sit 3rd (40 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Forward Madison	21	12	4	5	41	22	40
10	Fort Wayne	20	7	6	7	26	24	27

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fort Wayne vs Forward Madison?: The Footlab model makes Fort Wayne the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Forward Madison.
Where and when is Fort Wayne vs Forward Madison played?: Fort Wayne vs Forward Madison is played on October 3, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC), in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.