Where and when is Fort Wayne vs NY Cosmos played?

Fort Wayne vs NY Cosmos is played on September 5, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC), in the USL League One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Fort Wayne vs NY Cosmos: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on September 5, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)

Fort Wayne

NY Cosmos

The Footlab model makes Fort Wayne the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for NY Cosmos. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fort Wayne vs NY Cosmos?

Fort Wayne starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,720 vs 1,593).

Fort Wayne win71 %

Draw17 %

NY Cosmos win11 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fort Wayne have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; NY Cosmos have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fort Wayne
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Chattanooga Red Wolves(home)	1-2	USL League One
Aug 9, 2026	Alta(away)	0-3	USL League One
Aug 1, 2026	Union Omaha(home)	0-2	USL League One
Jul 26, 2026	Spokane Velocity(away)	1-3	USL League One
Jul 18, 2026	Greenville Triumph(home)	3-0	USL League One

NY Cosmos
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Chattanooga Red Wolves(away)	3-3	USL League One
Aug 20, 2026	Corpus Christi(away)	2-0	USL League One
Aug 15, 2026	Alta(home)	1-0	USL League One
Aug 5, 2026	Richmond Kickers(away)	0-2	USL League One
Jul 25, 2026	Boise(home)	1-2	USL League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Fort Wayne win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 NY Cosmos win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 28, 2026	NY Cosmos 2-0 Fort Wayne	USL League One

Last archived meeting: NY Cosmos vs Fort Wayne on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Fort Wayne score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; NY Cosmos score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Fort Wayne	1.3	1.5	4	9/15	9/15
NY Cosmos	0.9	1.9	4	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fort Wayne sit 10th in USL League One (27 points from 20 matches) and NY Cosmos sit 17th (18 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Fort Wayne	20	7	6	7	26	24	27
17	NY Cosmos	21	5	3	13	24	43	18

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fort Wayne vs NY Cosmos?: The Footlab model makes Fort Wayne the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for NY Cosmos.
Where and when is Fort Wayne vs NY Cosmos played?: Fort Wayne vs NY Cosmos is played on September 5, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC), in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.