Match

Fort Wayne vs Richmond Kickers: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on September 2, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)

Fort WayneRichmond Kickers

The Footlab model makes Fort Wayne the favourite at 75%, against 17% for a draw and 8% for Richmond Kickers. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fort Wayne vs Richmond Kickers?

Fort Wayne starts as the favourite with a 153-point Elo edge (1,720 vs 1,567).

Fort Wayne win75 %
Draw17 %
Richmond Kickers win8 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fort Wayne have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Richmond Kickers have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fort Wayne
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Chattanooga Red Wolves(home)1-2USL League One
Aug 9, 2026Alta(away)0-3USL League One
Aug 1, 2026Union Omaha(home)0-2USL League One
Jul 26, 2026Spokane Velocity(away)1-3USL League One
Jul 18, 2026Greenville Triumph(home)3-0USL League One
Richmond Kickers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Portland Hearts of Pine(home)1-1USL League One
Aug 16, 2026Union Omaha(away)1-5USL League One
Aug 5, 2026NY Cosmos(home)2-0USL League One
Aug 1, 2026Alta(home)3-2USL League One
Jul 25, 2026Charlotte Independence(away)1-3USL League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Fort Wayne win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Richmond Kickers win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 20, 2026Richmond Kickers 0-2 Fort WayneUSL League One

Last archived meeting: Richmond Kickers vs Fort Wayne on Jun 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Fort Wayne score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Richmond Kickers score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Fort Wayne1.31.549/159/15
Richmond Kickers0.92.128/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fort Wayne sit 10th in USL League One (27 points from 20 matches) and Richmond Kickers sit 16th (19 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Fort Wayne20767262427
16Richmond Kickers215412204119

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fort Wayne vs Richmond Kickers?
The Footlab model makes Fort Wayne the favourite at 75%, against 17% for a draw and 8% for Richmond Kickers.
Where and when is Fort Wayne vs Richmond Kickers played?
Fort Wayne vs Richmond Kickers is played on September 2, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC), in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Fort Wayne and Richmond Kickers

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