Fortaleza EC vs Guarany de Sobral: result 4-1 and analysis
Serie CRegular Season - 9Kick-off on August 25, 2012 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, Fortaleza, Ceará
Full time
What was the result of Fortaleza EC vs Guarany de Sobral?
Fortaleza EC won 4-1 on August 25, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 19′GeraldoFortaleza EC
- 36′Waldison Rodrigues de SouzaFortaleza EC
- 37′BismarckGuarany de Sobral
- 45′Jaílson Alexandre Alves dos SantosFortaleza EC
- 69′GutoFortaleza EC
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Fortaleza EC have 5 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Guarany de Sobral have 1, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2012 | Icasa(away) | 2-0 | Serie C |
| Aug 12, 2012 | Santa Cruz(home) | 2-0 | Serie C |
| Aug 5, 2012 | Cuiaba(away) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| Jul 29, 2012 | Treze(home) | 2-1 | Serie C |
| Jul 22, 2012 | Salgueiro(home) | 2-1 | Serie C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2012 | Cuiaba(home) | 3-4 | Serie C |
| Aug 12, 2012 | Treze(away) | 1-3 | Serie C |
| Aug 5, 2012 | Luverdense(home) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Jul 29, 2012 | Icasa(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Jul 21, 2012 | Águia de Marabá(away) | 1-2 | Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
Fortaleza EC score 1.1 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 8; Guarany de Sobral score 1.1 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza EC | 1.1 | 0.5 | 5 | 2/8 | 2/8 |
| Guarany de Sobral | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1 | 5/8 | 4/8 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy