Atlético PE vs Guarany de Sobral: prediction and stats
Pernambucano - 1Semi-finalsKick-off on November 10, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Carpina, Carpina, Pernambuco
The Footlab AI model makes Atlético PE the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Guarany de Sobral. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atlético PE wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,183 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético PE vs Guarany de Sobral?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Atlético PE (1,342) and Guarany de Sobral (1,421).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atlético PE vs Guarany de Sobral
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atlético PE
Not enough data to predict the Atlético PE lineup.
Guarany de Sobral
4-3-3- DDaniel Passira
- GGeraldo Batista dos Santos Filho
- HHugo Freitas
- PPaulista
- MMattheus Silva
- DDim
- RRaí
- DDanilo Cirqueira
- AAirton Júnior
- AAndré Mascena
- TTheofilo Rufino Rodrigues
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 04:55 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético PE have 3 wins, 0 draws and 12 defeats; Guarany de Sobral have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Santa Fe PE(home) | 2-0 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Centro Limoeirense(away) | 0-1 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Aguia FC(away) | 0-1 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Serrano PE(home) | 1-0 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Jaguaré(away) | 2-1 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Vera Cruz(away) | 1-0 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Sete de Setembro(home) | 1-0 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Oct 29, 2026 | América PE(home) | 0-7 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Íbis(away) | 2-5 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Ipojuca(away) | 0-1 | Pernambucano - 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético PE score 0.5 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Guarany de Sobral score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético PE | 0.5 | 2.7 | 2 | 3/15 | 8/15 |
| Guarany de Sobral | 1.1 | 1.7 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlético PE sit 2nd in Pernambucano - 1 (9 points from 5 matches) and Guarany de Sobral sit 6th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Atlético PE | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Guarany de Sobral | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
A question about Atlético PE vs Guarany de Sobral?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético PE vs Guarany de Sobral?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atlético PE the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Guarany de Sobral.
- Where and when is Atlético PE vs Guarany de Sobral played?
- Atlético PE vs Guarany de Sobral is played on November 10, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Carpina, in the Pernambucano - 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.