Fortaleza EC vs Novorizontino: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 18Kick-off on July 18, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, Fortaleza, Ceará
Full time
What was the result of Fortaleza EC vs Novorizontino?
Fortaleza EC won 1-0 on July 18, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 3′VitinhoFortaleza EC
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab model gave a Fortaleza EC win at 37%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1 — actual score: 1-0.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortaleza EC have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Novorizontino have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2026 | Atletico Goianiense(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Ponte Preta(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Sport Recife(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Jun 21, 2026 | CRB(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Jun 16, 2026 | America Mineiro(home) | 0-3 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2026 | Operario-PR(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Atletico Goianiense(home) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Vila Nova(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Ponte Preta(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Nautico Recife(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Fortaleza EC score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Novorizontino score 1.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza EC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Novorizontino | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortaleza EC sit 5th in Serie B (40 points from 24 matches) and Novorizontino sit 4th (40 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Novorizontino | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 39 | 21 | 40 |
| 5 | Fortaleza EC | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 21 | 40 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy