Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs SSVg Velbert: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 30Kick-off on May 7, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Paul-Janes-Stadion, Düsseldorf
The Footlab model makes Fortuna Düsseldorf II the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for SSVg Velbert. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs SSVg Velbert?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Fortuna Düsseldorf II (1,875) and SSVg Velbert (1,812).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Düsseldorf II have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; SSVg Velbert have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Meerbusch(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jul 31, 2026 | TSV Steinbach(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Homberg(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | SC St. Tönis(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Bochum II(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SW Essen(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Wuppertaler SV(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(home) | 0-8 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Sportfreunde Siegen(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| May 8, 2026 | Paderborn II(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Fortuna Düsseldorf II win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 SSVg Velbert win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | SSVg Velbert 1-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf II | Regionalliga - West |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Fortuna Düsseldorf II 2-1 SSVg Velbert | Regionalliga - West |
| Feb 10, 2024 | SSVg Velbert 0-5 Fortuna Düsseldorf II | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Fortuna Düsseldorf II 1-1 SSVg Velbert | Regionalliga - West |
Last archived meeting: SSVg Velbert vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II on Feb 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fortuna Düsseldorf II score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; SSVg Velbert score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Düsseldorf II | 1.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| SSVg Velbert | 1.3 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortuna Düsseldorf II sit 7th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (3 points from 1 matches) and SSVg Velbert sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SSVg Velbert | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Fortuna Düsseldorf II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs SSVg Velbert?
- The Footlab model makes Fortuna Düsseldorf II the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for SSVg Velbert.
- Where and when is Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs SSVg Velbert played?
- Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs SSVg Velbert is played on May 7, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Paul-Janes-Stadion, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.