Holzheimer SG vs SF Baumberg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 30Kick-off on May 7, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Kunstrasenplatz Bezirkssportanlage Holzheim, Neuss
The Footlab model makes SF Baumberg the favourite at 41%, against 22% for a draw and 37% for Holzheimer SG. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Holzheimer SG vs SF Baumberg?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Holzheimer SG (1,706) and SF Baumberg (1,750).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holzheimer SG have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; SF Baumberg have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Solingen-Wald(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 15, 2026 | KFC Uerdingen 05(home) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Schonnebeck(home) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | BW Dingden(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Germania Ratingen(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Meerbusch(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sonsbeck(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(home) | 0-7 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Büderich(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Biemenhorst(home) | 7-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Holzheimer SG win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 SF Baumberg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Holzheimer SG 4-2 SF Baumberg | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 6, 2025 | SF Baumberg 1-2 Holzheimer SG | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
Last archived meeting: Holzheimer SG vs SF Baumberg on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Holzheimer SG score 1.4 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; SF Baumberg score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holzheimer SG | 1.4 | 2.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| SF Baumberg | 1.5 | 2.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Holzheimer SG sit 17th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (0 points from 2 matches) and SF Baumberg sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | SF Baumberg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 17 | Holzheimer SG | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Holzheimer SG vs SF Baumberg?
- The Footlab model makes SF Baumberg the favourite at 41%, against 22% for a draw and 37% for Holzheimer SG.
- Where and when is Holzheimer SG vs SF Baumberg played?
- Holzheimer SG vs SF Baumberg is played on May 7, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Kunstrasenplatz Bezirkssportanlage Holzheim, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 7, 2027Fortuna Düsseldorf IIvsSSVg Velbert
- May 8, 2027Wuppertaler SVvsKFC Uerdingen 05
- May 9, 2027SchonnebeckvsMeerbusch
- May 9, 2027Germania RatingenvsSolingen-Wald
- May 9, 2027BW DingdenvsSW Essen
- May 9, 2027MonheimvsViktoria Jüchen-Garz.
- May 9, 2027BüderichvsSonsbeck
- May 9, 2027SC St. TönisvsScherpenberg