Fortuna Köln vs FC Viktoria Köln: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Südstadion, Köln
The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for FC Viktoria Köln. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortuna Köln vs FC Viktoria Köln?
Fortuna Köln starts as the favourite with a 133-point Elo edge (2,037 vs 1,904).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Köln have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; FC Viktoria Köln have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alemannia Aachen(home) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away) | 0-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kickers Offenbach(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | VVV Venlo(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Borussia M'gladbach II(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg(home) | 1-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Stuttgart II(away) | 3-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SSV Jahn Regensburg(home) | 2-5 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Kaiserslautern II(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Standard Liege(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Fortuna Köln score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Viktoria Köln score 2.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Köln | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| FC Viktoria Köln | 2.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortuna Köln sit 16th in 3. Liga (1 points from 2 matches) and FC Viktoria Köln sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | FC Viktoria Köln | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 16 | Fortuna Köln | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortuna Köln vs FC Viktoria Köln?
- The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for FC Viktoria Köln.
- Where and when is Fortuna Köln vs FC Viktoria Köln played?
- Fortuna Köln vs FC Viktoria Köln is played on April 24, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Südstadion, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 24, 2027Fortuna DüsseldorfvsWürzburger Kickers
- Apr 24, 2027SSV Jahn RegensburgvsFC Ingolstadt 04
- Apr 24, 2027MSV DuisburgvsSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
- Apr 24, 2027SV MeppenvsSV Wehen
- Apr 24, 2027Alemannia AachenvsFC Saarbrücken
- Apr 24, 2027VerlvsPreußen Münster
- Apr 24, 2027HavelsevsHansa Rostock
- Apr 24, 2027Hoffenheim IIvsRot-Weiß Essen