Match

MSV Duisburg vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, Duisburg

MSV DuisburgSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach

The Footlab model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win MSV Duisburg vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach?

A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate MSV Duisburg (2,032) and SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach (2,055).

MSV Duisburg win42 %
Draw24 %
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MSV Duisburg have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

MSV Duisburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026SV Elversberg(home)1-3DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Verl(away)4-23. Liga
Aug 8, 2026SV Meppen(home)3-03. Liga
Aug 1, 2026Sparta Rotterdam(away)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Arminia Bielefeld(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Arminia Bielefeld(home)2-2DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026SV Meppen(away)0-23. Liga
Aug 8, 2026Fortuna Köln(home)1-03. Liga
Jul 25, 2026SV Darmstadt 98(home)2-7Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026VfR Aalen(away)2-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 MSV Duisburg win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 21, 2019SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1-1 MSV Duisburg3. Liga
Jul 20, 2019MSV Duisburg 4-1 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach3. Liga
Apr 8, 2017MSV Duisburg 2-1 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach3. Liga
Oct 29, 2016SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 0-0 MSV Duisburg3. Liga
Dec 13, 2014SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1-1 MSV Duisburg3. Liga
Aug 2, 2014MSV Duisburg 1-1 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach3. Liga

Last archived meeting: SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs MSV Duisburg on Dec 21, 2019

How many goals should we expect?

MSV Duisburg score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
MSV Duisburg1.81.3410/159/15
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach2.01.375/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

MSV Duisburg sit 1st in 3. Liga (6 points from 2 matches) and SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach sit 13th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1MSV Duisburg2200726
13SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach2101123

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for MSV Duisburg vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach?
The Footlab model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach.
Where and when is MSV Duisburg vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach played?
MSV Duisburg vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach is played on April 24, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: MSV Duisburg and SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach

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