Verl vs Preußen Münster: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)SPORTCLUB Arena, Verl
The Footlab model makes Verl the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Preußen Münster. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Verl vs Preußen Münster?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Verl (1,953) and Preußen Münster (1,879).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Verl have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Preußen Münster have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Hamburger SV(home) | 0-3 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | MSV Duisburg(home) | 2-4 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Alemannia Aachen(away) | 1-4 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | RB Leipzig(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Bremer SV(home) | 6-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Karlsruher SC(home) | 1-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Ingolstadt 04(home) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Wehen(away) | 3-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Southampton(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Verl win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Preußen Münster win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 6, 2025 | Preußen Münster 1-0 Verl | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 12, 2024 | Verl 2-0 Preußen Münster | 3. Liga |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Preußen Münster 3-1 Verl | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Preußen Münster vs Verl on Jul 6, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Verl score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Preußen Münster score 1.2 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verl | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Preußen Münster | 1.2 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Verl sit 19th in 3. Liga (0 points from 2 matches) and Preußen Münster sit 5th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Preußen Münster | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 19 | Verl | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Verl vs Preußen Münster?
- The Footlab model makes Verl the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Preußen Münster.
- Where and when is Verl vs Preußen Münster played?
- Verl vs Preußen Münster is played on April 24, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at SPORTCLUB Arena, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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