Fortuna Mfou vs Tonnerre: prediction and stats
Elite TwoRegular Season - 4Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Centre sportif académique de Mbankomo, Mbankomo
The Footlab AI model makes Fortuna Mfou the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Tonnerre. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fortuna Mfou wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,447 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortuna Mfou vs Tonnerre?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Fortuna Mfou (1,526) and Tonnerre (1,554).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fortuna Mfou vs Tonnerre
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fortuna Mfou
Not enough data to predict the Fortuna Mfou lineup.
Tonnerre
Not enough data to predict the Tonnerre lineup.
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 05:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Mfou have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Tonnerre have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2026 | Jeunes Fauves(away) | 4-2 | Elite One |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Victoria United(home) | 2-1 | Elite One |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Stade Renard(home) | 1-2 | Elite One |
| Jun 7, 2026 | PWD Bamenda(home) | 1-1 | Elite One |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Aigle Royal de Moungo(home) | 0-2 | Elite One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Sable(home) | 2-0 | Elite Two |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Sable(away) | 2-2 | Elite Two |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Yafoot(home) | 1-1 | Elite Two |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Bafmeng United(away) | 0-0 | Elite Two |
| Jun 13, 2026 | FAP(home) | 1-0 | Elite Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Fortuna Mfou wins, 0 draws, 1 Tonnerre win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2022 | Tonnerre 2-3 Fortuna Mfou | Elite One |
| Apr 13, 2022 | Fortuna Mfou 5-1 Tonnerre | Elite One |
| Feb 19, 2020 | Fortuna Mfou 1-0 Tonnerre | Elite One |
| Nov 10, 2019 | Tonnerre 2-0 Fortuna Mfou | Elite One |
Last archived meeting: Tonnerre vs Fortuna Mfou on May 30, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Fortuna Mfou score 0.7 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Tonnerre score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Mfou | 0.7 | 2.2 | 1 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Tonnerre | 1.3 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2026 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Tonnerre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
A question about Fortuna Mfou vs Tonnerre?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortuna Mfou vs Tonnerre?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fortuna Mfou the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Tonnerre.
- Where and when is Fortuna Mfou vs Tonnerre played?
- Fortuna Mfou vs Tonnerre is played on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Centre sportif académique de Mbankomo, in the Elite Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.