Fortuna Regensburg vs Großbardorf: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 10Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Projekt 29 Arena, Regensburg
The Footlab model makes Fortuna Regensburg the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Großbardorf. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortuna Regensburg vs Großbardorf?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Fortuna Regensburg (1,777) and Großbardorf (1,683).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Regensburg have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Großbardorf have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Kornburg(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | ASV Neumarkt(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ammerthal(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | DJK Bamberg(home) | 5-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Cham(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ingolstadt II(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bayern Hof(away) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nordlingen(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kornburg(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 25, 2026 | ASV Neumarkt(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
How many goals should we expect?
Fortuna Regensburg score 2.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Großbardorf score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Regensburg | 2.1 | 1.8 | 0 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Großbardorf | 1.3 | 1.4 | 7 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Fortuna Regensburg | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 66 | 58 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortuna Regensburg vs Großbardorf?
- The Footlab model makes Fortuna Regensburg the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Großbardorf.
- Where and when is Fortuna Regensburg vs Großbardorf played?
- Fortuna Regensburg vs Großbardorf is played on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Projekt 29 Arena, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.