Ingolstadt II vs Cham: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 10Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)BZA Süd-Ost, Ingolstadt
The Footlab model makes Cham the favourite at 51%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for Ingolstadt II. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ingolstadt II vs Cham?
Cham starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,878 vs 1,774).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ingolstadt II have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Cham have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Großbardorf(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Nordlingen(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Würzburger FV(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Viktoria Aschaffenburg(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Jahn Regensburg II(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Viktoria Aschaffenburg(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Jahn Regensburg II(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Gebenbach(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Stadeln(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Fortuna Regensburg(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ingolstadt II win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Cham win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Cham 0-3 Ingolstadt II | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Ingolstadt II 5-1 Cham | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| May 17, 2025 | Cham 3-2 Ingolstadt II | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Ingolstadt II 1-1 Cham | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| May 18, 2024 | Cham 2-2 Ingolstadt II | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Ingolstadt II 0-0 Cham | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
How many goals should we expect?
Ingolstadt II score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cham score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ingolstadt II | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Cham | 2.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ingolstadt II sit 7th in Oberliga - Bayern Nord (48 points from 32 matches) and Cham sit 2nd (62 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cham | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 62 | 35 | 62 |
| 7 | Ingolstadt II | 32 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 64 | 54 | 48 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ingolstadt II vs Cham?
- The Footlab model makes Cham the favourite at 51%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for Ingolstadt II.
- Where and when is Ingolstadt II vs Cham played?
- Ingolstadt II vs Cham is played on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at BZA Süd-Ost, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 11, 2026NeudrossenfeldvsEintracht Bamberg
- Sep 11, 2026GebenbachvsBayern Hof
- Sep 12, 2026StadelnvsWeiden
- Sep 12, 2026Viktoria AschaffenburgvsASV Neumarkt
- Sep 12, 2026Fortuna RegensburgvsGroßbardorf
- Sep 12, 2026Würzburger FVvsAmmerthal
- Sep 12, 2026NordlingenvsDJK Bamberg
- Sep 12, 2026Jahn Regensburg IIvsKornburg