Match

Forward Madison vs Alta: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on September 19, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Breese Stevens Field

Forward MadisonAlta

The Footlab model makes Forward Madison the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Alta. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Forward Madison vs Alta?

A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Forward Madison (1,748) and Alta (1,678).

Forward Madison win65 %
Draw20 %
Alta win14 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Forward Madison have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Alta have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Forward Madison
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Charlotte Independence(home)1-1USL League One
Aug 16, 2026Portland Hearts of Pine(away)2-1USL League One
Aug 13, 2026Greenville Triumph(home)1-1USL League One
Aug 9, 2026Boise(away)1-2USL League One
Aug 2, 2026Westchester SC(home)2-0USL League One
Alta
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Naples(home)1-2USL League One
Aug 15, 2026NY Cosmos(away)0-1USL League One
Aug 9, 2026Fort Wayne(home)3-0USL League One
Aug 5, 2026Naples(away)1-2USL League One
Aug 1, 2026Richmond Kickers(away)2-3USL League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Forward Madison win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Alta win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Alta 2-0 Forward MadisonUSL League One
Sep 7, 2025Alta 3-3 Forward MadisonUSL League One
Aug 2, 2025Forward Madison 0-0 AltaUSL League One

Last archived meeting: Alta vs Forward Madison on May 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Forward Madison score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Alta score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Forward Madison2.21.1310/158/15
Alta1.31.249/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Forward Madison sit 3rd in USL League One (40 points from 21 matches) and Alta sit 8th (32 points from 24 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Forward Madison211245412240
8Alta24888332932

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Forward Madison vs Alta?
The Footlab model makes Forward Madison the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Alta.
Where and when is Forward Madison vs Alta played?
Forward Madison vs Alta is played on September 19, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Breese Stevens Field, in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Forward Madison and Alta

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