Forward Madison vs Alta: prediction and stats
USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on September 19, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Breese Stevens Field
The Footlab model makes Forward Madison the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Alta. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Forward Madison vs Alta?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Forward Madison (1,748) and Alta (1,678).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Forward Madison have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Alta have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Charlotte Independence(home) | 1-1 | USL League One |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Portland Hearts of Pine(away) | 2-1 | USL League One |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Greenville Triumph(home) | 1-1 | USL League One |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Boise(away) | 1-2 | USL League One |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Westchester SC(home) | 2-0 | USL League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Naples(home) | 1-2 | USL League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | NY Cosmos(away) | 0-1 | USL League One |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Fort Wayne(home) | 3-0 | USL League One |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Naples(away) | 1-2 | USL League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Richmond Kickers(away) | 2-3 | USL League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Forward Madison win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Alta win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Alta 2-0 Forward Madison | USL League One |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Alta 3-3 Forward Madison | USL League One |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Forward Madison 0-0 Alta | USL League One |
Last archived meeting: Alta vs Forward Madison on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Forward Madison score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Alta score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward Madison | 2.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Alta | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Forward Madison sit 3rd in USL League One (40 points from 21 matches) and Alta sit 8th (32 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Forward Madison | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 41 | 22 | 40 |
| 8 | Alta | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 29 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Forward Madison vs Alta?
- The Footlab model makes Forward Madison the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Alta.
- Where and when is Forward Madison vs Alta played?
- Forward Madison vs Alta is played on September 19, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Breese Stevens Field, in the USL League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 8, 2026Westchester SC2-3One Knoxville
- Mar 8, 2026Naples2-0Fort Wayne
- Mar 8, 2026Sarasota Paradise0-1Boise
- Mar 8, 2026Alta1-1Richmond Kickers
- Mar 8, 2026TormentavsSpokane Velocity
- Mar 14, 2026NY Cosmos1-3Portland Hearts of Pine
- Mar 14, 2026TormentavsAlta
- Mar 14, 2026Greenville Triumph1-2Chattanooga Red Wolves