Where and when is Forward Madison vs Spokane Velocity played?

Forward Madison vs Spokane Velocity is played on September 26, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC) at Breese Stevens Field, in the USL League One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Forward Madison vs Spokane Velocity: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on September 26, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Breese Stevens Field

Forward Madison

Spokane Velocity

The Footlab model makes Forward Madison the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Spokane Velocity. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Forward Madison vs Spokane Velocity?

A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Forward Madison (1,733) and Spokane Velocity (1,737).

Forward Madison win62 %

Draw22 %

Spokane Velocity win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Forward Madison have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Spokane Velocity have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Forward Madison
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Charlotte Independence(home)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 16, 2026	Portland Hearts of Pine(away)	2-1	USL League One
Aug 13, 2026	Greenville Triumph(home)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 9, 2026	Boise(away)	1-2	USL League One
Aug 2, 2026	Westchester SC(home)	2-0	USL League One

Spokane Velocity
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Greenville Triumph(home)	2-1	USL League One
Aug 16, 2026	Corpus Christi(home)	2-3	USL League One
Aug 13, 2026	Colorado Springs(home)	1-1	USL League One Cup
Jul 26, 2026	Fort Wayne(home)	3-1	USL League One
Jul 23, 2026	Charlotte Independence(home)	3-0	USL League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Forward Madison win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Spokane Velocity win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 2, 2026	Spokane Velocity 0-1 Forward Madison	USL League One
Aug 22, 2025	Forward Madison 0-1 Spokane Velocity	USL League One
Jun 15, 2025	Spokane Velocity 2-1 Forward Madison	USL League One
Nov 10, 2024	Forward Madison 0-0 Spokane Velocity	USL League One
Sep 21, 2024	Forward Madison 2-0 Spokane Velocity	USL League One
May 19, 2024	Spokane Velocity 0-3 Forward Madison	USL League One

Last archived meeting: Spokane Velocity vs Forward Madison on Jul 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Forward Madison score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Spokane Velocity score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Forward Madison	2.2	1.1	3	10/15	8/15
Spokane Velocity	1.5	1.3	3	8/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Forward Madison sit 3rd in USL League One (40 points from 21 matches) and Spokane Velocity sit 5th (35 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Forward Madison	21	12	4	5	41	22	40
5	Spokane Velocity	20	11	2	7	29	26	35

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Forward Madison vs Spokane Velocity?: The Footlab model makes Forward Madison the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Spokane Velocity.
Where and when is Forward Madison vs Spokane Velocity played?: Forward Madison vs Spokane Velocity is played on September 26, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC) at Breese Stevens Field, in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.