Where and when is Forward Madison vs Union Omaha played?

Forward Madison vs Union Omaha is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Breese Stevens Field, in the USL League One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Forward Madison vs Union Omaha: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Breese Stevens Field

Forward Madison

Union Omaha

The Footlab model makes Forward Madison the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Union Omaha. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Forward Madison vs Union Omaha?

A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Forward Madison (1,750) and Union Omaha (1,831).

Forward Madison win47 %

Draw24 %

Union Omaha win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Forward Madison have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Union Omaha have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Forward Madison
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Charlotte Independence(home)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 16, 2026	Portland Hearts of Pine(away)	2-1	USL League One
Aug 13, 2026	Greenville Triumph(home)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 9, 2026	Boise(away)	1-2	USL League One
Aug 2, 2026	Westchester SC(home)	2-0	USL League One

Union Omaha
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Sarasota Paradise(home)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 16, 2026	Richmond Kickers(home)	5-1	USL League One
Aug 8, 2026	Chattanooga Red Wolves(away)	3-1	USL League One
Aug 1, 2026	Fort Wayne(away)	2-0	USL League One
Jul 22, 2026	Portland Hearts of Pine(away)	2-1	USL League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Forward Madison win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Union Omaha win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 12, 2026	Forward Madison 4-3 Union Omaha	USL League One Cup
Apr 11, 2026	Union Omaha 1-0 Forward Madison	USL League One
Oct 18, 2025	Union Omaha 4-0 Forward Madison	USL League One
Jun 8, 2025	Forward Madison 0-1 Union Omaha	USL League One
May 3, 2025	Forward Madison 0-0 Union Omaha	USL League One
Aug 30, 2024	Forward Madison 3-3 Union Omaha	USL League One Cup

Last archived meeting: Forward Madison vs Union Omaha on Jul 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Forward Madison score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Union Omaha score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Forward Madison	2.2	1.1	3	10/15	8/15
Union Omaha	2.1	1.3	2	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Forward Madison sit 3rd in USL League One (40 points from 21 matches) and Union Omaha sit 1st (45 points from 22 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Union Omaha	22	14	3	5	40	24	45
3	Forward Madison	21	12	4	5	41	22	40

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Forward Madison vs Union Omaha?: The Footlab model makes Forward Madison the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Union Omaha.
Where and when is Forward Madison vs Union Omaha played?: Forward Madison vs Union Omaha is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Breese Stevens Field, in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.