Match

Forward Madison vs Union Omaha: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Breese Stevens Field

Forward MadisonUnion Omaha

The Footlab AI model makes Forward Madison the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Union Omaha. The most likely score is 1-1. If Forward Madison wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Forward Madison vs Union Omaha?

A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Forward Madison (1,830) and Union Omaha (1,920).

38%26%36%
Forward Madison winDrawUnion Omaha win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Forward Madison vs Union Omaha

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Forward Madison

4-3-3
  1. 11C. Ngoubou
  2. 9Ryan Carmichael
  3. 7J. Bolma
  1. 12R. Torres
  2. 57B. Augee
  3. 30E. Machacen
  1. 20K. Carmichael
  2. 8M. Segbers
  3. 6G. Kanyane
  4. 23E. Munjoma
  1. 1John Harms

Union Omaha

4-3-3
  1. 9P. Botello Faz
  2. 21J. Gomez
  3. 17D. Gutiérrez
  1. 8Gabriel Cabral
  2. 16L. Wootton
  3. 20Sergio Ors
  1. 4S. Owusu
  2. 23Y. Boudadi
  3. 6S. Guediri
  4. 14B. Kallman
  1. 24R. Nuhu

Computed on October 13, 2026 at 12:13 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Forward Madison have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Union Omaha have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Forward Madison
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Westchester SC(away)2-3USL League One
Oct 3, 2026Fort Wayne(away)0-0USL League One
Sep 26, 2026Spokane Velocity(home)0-1USL League One
Sep 19, 2026Alta(home)3-0USL League One
Sep 16, 2026Chattanooga Red Wolves(away)0-1USL League One
Union Omaha
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Fort Wayne(home)0-1USL League One
Sep 26, 2026Greenville Triumph(away)3-1USL League One
Sep 20, 2026One Knoxville(home)2-1USL League One
Sep 16, 2026Spokane Velocity(home)3-1USL League One
Sep 13, 2026Corpus Christi(away)2-1USL League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Forward Madison win, 2 draws, 3 Union Omaha wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 12, 2026Forward Madison 4-3 Union OmahaUSL League One Cup
Apr 11, 2026Union Omaha 1-0 Forward MadisonUSL League One
Oct 18, 2025Union Omaha 4-0 Forward MadisonUSL League One
Jun 8, 2025Forward Madison 0-1 Union OmahaUSL League One
May 3, 2025Forward Madison 0-0 Union OmahaUSL League One
Aug 30, 2024Forward Madison 3-3 Union OmahaUSL League One Cup

Last archived meeting: Forward Madison vs Union Omaha on Jul 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Forward Madison score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Union Omaha score 2.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Forward Madison1.51.049/156/15
Union Omaha2.11.2211/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Forward Madison sit 3rd in USL League One (52 points from 30 matches) and Union Omaha sit 2nd (61 points from 30 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Union Omaha301947533261
3Forward Madison301578523052

A question about Forward Madison vs Union Omaha?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Forward Madison vs Union Omaha?
The Footlab AI model makes Forward Madison the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Union Omaha.
Where and when is Forward Madison vs Union Omaha played?
Forward Madison vs Union Omaha is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Breese Stevens Field, in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Ready to know everything about football?