Fossombrone vs Recanatese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 29Kick-off on March 25, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Fossombrone, Fossombrone
The Footlab AI model makes Fossombrone the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Recanatese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fossombrone wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fossombrone vs Recanatese?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Fossombrone (1,593) and Recanatese (1,539).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fossombrone vs Recanatese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fossombrone
Not enough data to predict the Fossombrone lineup.
Recanatese
Not enough data to predict the Recanatese lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:46 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fossombrone have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Recanatese have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Termoli Calcio(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Ancona(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Vigor Senigallia(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lanciano FC(home) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Notaresco(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Maceratese(home) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lanciano FC(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Montecchio Gallo(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(home) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Fossombrone wins, 0 draws, 2 Recanatese wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Recanatese 2-0 Fossombrone | Serie D - Girone F |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Fossombrone 1-0 Recanatese | Serie D - Girone F |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Fossombrone 4-1 Recanatese | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 23, 2024 | Recanatese 2-0 Fossombrone | Serie D - Girone F |
Last archived meeting: Recanatese vs Fossombrone on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fossombrone score 0.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Recanatese score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fossombrone | 0.9 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Recanatese | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fossombrone sit 10th in Serie D - Girone F (10 points from 7 matches) and Recanatese sit 15th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Fossombrone | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 10 |
| 15 | Recanatese | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 6 |
A question about Fossombrone vs Recanatese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fossombrone vs Recanatese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fossombrone the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Recanatese.
- Where and when is Fossombrone vs Recanatese played?
- Fossombrone vs Recanatese is played on March 25, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Fossombrone, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 25, 2027TeramovsSantegidiese
- Mar 25, 2027Sporting TrestinavsNotaresco
- Mar 25, 2027Real GiulianovavsMaceratese
- Mar 25, 2027Termoli CalciovsFoligno Calcio
- Mar 25, 2027Vigor SenigalliavsMontecchio Gallo
- Mar 25, 2027Atletico AscolivsPietralunga
- Mar 25, 2027L'AquilavsAngelana
- Mar 25, 2027Lanciano FCvsAncona