Foligno Calcio vs Fossombrone: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F · Matchday 30Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Enzo Blasone, Foligno
The Footlab AI model makes Foligno Calcio the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Fossombrone. The most likely score is 1-1. If Foligno Calcio wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Foligno Calcio vs Fossombrone?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Foligno Calcio (1,724) and Fossombrone (1,710).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Foligno Calcio vs Fossombrone
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Foligno Calcio
Not enough data to predict the Foligno Calcio lineup.
Fossombrone
Not enough data to predict the Fossombrone lineup.
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 12:51 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Foligno Calcio have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Fossombrone have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Vigor Senigallia(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 25, 2026 | L'Aquila(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Real Giulianova(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Maceratese(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Santegidiese(home) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Pietralunga(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Teramo(home) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ancona(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Termoli Calcio(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
How many goals should we expect?
Foligno Calcio score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Fossombrone score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Foligno Calcio | 1.1 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Fossombrone | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Foligno Calcio sit 4th in Serie D - Girone F (20 points from 11 matches) and Fossombrone sit 6th (17 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Foligno Calcio | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 20 |
| 6 | Fossombrone | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 17 |
A question about Foligno Calcio vs Fossombrone?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Foligno Calcio vs Fossombrone?
- The Footlab AI model makes Foligno Calcio the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Fossombrone.
- Where and when is Foligno Calcio vs Fossombrone played?
- Foligno Calcio vs Fossombrone is played on April 4, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Enzo Blasone, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.