Fossombrone vs Atletico Ascoli: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 23Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Fossombrone, Fossombrone
The Footlab AI model makes Atletico Ascoli the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Fossombrone. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atletico Ascoli wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,869 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fossombrone vs Atletico Ascoli?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Fossombrone (1,690) and Atletico Ascoli (1,757).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fossombrone vs Atletico Ascoli
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fossombrone
Not enough data to predict the Fossombrone lineup.
Atletico Ascoli
Not enough data to predict the Atletico Ascoli lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 03:58 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fossombrone have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Atletico Ascoli have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ancona(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Termoli Calcio(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Ancona(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Vigor Senigallia(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lanciano FC(home) | 5-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Vigor Senigallia(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Fossombrone(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Giulianova(away) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Fossombrone wins, 4 draws, 0 Atletico Ascoli wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli 0-1 Fossombrone | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli 1-1 Fossombrone | Serie D - Girone F |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Fossombrone 0-0 Atletico Ascoli | Serie D - Girone F |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Atletico Ascoli 1-1 Fossombrone | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Fossombrone 1-0 Atletico Ascoli | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Fossombrone 1-1 Atletico Ascoli | Serie D - Girone F |
Last archived meeting: Atletico Ascoli vs Fossombrone on Oct 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fossombrone score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Ascoli score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fossombrone | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Atletico Ascoli | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fossombrone sit 8th in Serie D - Girone F (13 points from 8 matches) and Atletico Ascoli sit 7th (13 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Atletico Ascoli | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 13 |
| 8 | Fossombrone | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 13 |
A question about Fossombrone vs Atletico Ascoli?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fossombrone vs Atletico Ascoli?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atletico Ascoli the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Fossombrone.
- Where and when is Fossombrone vs Atletico Ascoli played?
- Fossombrone vs Atletico Ascoli is played on February 7, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Fossombrone, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.